{ "ticker": { "uuid": "006017f7-88df-4d0a-8bc4-50e8f7dda640", "symbol": "300962", "name": "Zhongjin Irradiation Incorporated Company", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.637, "architecture_energy": 44.836, "architecture_maturity": 97.121, "architecture_confidence": 61.869, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.43, "rotation_up": 27.23, "upward_expansion": 19.31, "deceleration": 66.96, "rotation_down": 40.29, "downward_expansion": 66.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.743519, 12.710953, 13.304677, 14.145208 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.16, "trend_reference": 15.204066, "distance_from_trend": -0.134442, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.453675, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.148423, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.444802, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.242808, "excess_performance": -0.250208, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.134442, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088212, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 11.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.010029, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.017722, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.262739, "worst_return": -0.151005, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.016636, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.017813, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.359706, "worst_return": -0.224305, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.00373, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.128427, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.272125, "worst_return": -0.221494, "sufficient": false }, { 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15352158.6, "trend": 15.425732, "fair_value": 15.511837, "relative_strength": -27.141093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.886206, "energy": 65.923761, "activity_lines": [ 12.4651, 12.663025, 13.577076, 14.454378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.78, "volume": 10459150, "typical_volume": 12971149.85, "trend": 15.306399, "fair_value": 15.480729, "relative_strength": -20.448347, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.546073, "energy": 56.108111, "activity_lines": [ 12.568302, 12.643898, 13.408115, 14.283686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.16, "volume": 14945300, "typical_volume": 12049944.4, "trend": 15.204066, "fair_value": 15.453675, "relative_strength": -21.444802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.637258, "energy": 44.83552, "activity_lines": [ 12.743519, 12.710953, 13.304677, 14.145208 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }