{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "00700292-dd28-460b-a143-b9eb0764c26a",
    "symbol": "RTW",
    "name": "RTW Biotech Opportunities Ltd",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.608,
    "architecture_energy": 86.641,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.766,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.932,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.15,
        "rotation_up": 79.0,
        "upward_expansion": 98.67,
        "deceleration": 39.74,
        "rotation_down": 13.28,
        "downward_expansion": 20.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.467333,
        2.417455,
        2.32319,
        2.255677
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2.51,
    "trend_reference": 2.188167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.147079,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.566891,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.601898,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.989151,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.195238,
    "excess_performance": 0.144003,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147079,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053523,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.601898,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1477,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159892,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020203,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195238,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.461255,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1026796,
      "relative_activity": 0.519122,
      "balance": 2.461255,
      "dry_up": 0.63487,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038512,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.222998,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003968,
      "from_low_reference": 0.859259
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.188167,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.566891,
      "structural_low": 1.87,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.015504,
        "positive_rate": 0.631579,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.631579,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001247,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.13871,
        "worst_return": -0.082061,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.019068,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045692,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.313333,
        "worst_return": -0.141777,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.111111,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.070295,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.31,
        "worst_return": -0.14375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.031921,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029335,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.085271,
        "worst_return": -0.021429,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.03268,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.006711,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034965,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 1.544439,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2265777.9,
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        "fair_value": 1.551522,
        "relative_strength": 15.82432,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.47,
        "volume": 601468,
        "typical_volume": 2163002.95,
        "trend": 2.179167,
        "fair_value": 1.558878,
        "relative_strength": 15.36187,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.270091,
        "energy": 88.256943,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.443333,
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          2.234333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.51,
        "volume": 1026796,
        "typical_volume": 1977945.9,
        "trend": 2.188167,
        "fair_value": 1.566891,
        "relative_strength": 15.989151,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.607758,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}