{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0080d25f-3a33-4483-aa1e-2135c052ec34", "symbol": "CMOCTEZ", "name": "Corporaci\u00f3n Moctezuma, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 56.85, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.507, "architecture_energy": 27.166, "architecture_maturity": 52.312, "architecture_confidence": 79.796, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.56, "rotation_up": 36.29, "upward_expansion": 65.22, "deceleration": 85.41, "rotation_down": 25.46, "downward_expansion": 15.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.964666, 83.412727, 82.141006, 81.389173 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 81.5, "trend_reference": 80.919248, "distance_from_trend": 0.007177, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.863452, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.134095, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.528525, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.018072, "excess_performance": 0.036594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007177, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013354, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.134095, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002001, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.005285, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096049, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.018072, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.761179, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 140777, "relative_activity": 1.071786, "balance": 1.761179, "dry_up": 0.523893, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028719, "annualized_volatility": 0.143876, "from_high_reference": -0.042303, "from_low_reference": 0.08994 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.919248, "fair_value_reference": 71.863452, "structural_low": 76.074074, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 84.989998, "volume": 4999, "typical_volume": 136982.85, "trend": 80.916248, "fair_value": 71.519115, "relative_strength": 4.173416, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.15573, "energy": 61.874674, "activity_lines": [ 84.663333, 83.818855, 81.9486, 81.281592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 82.0, "volume": 43580, "typical_volume": 126195.95, "trend": 80.916248, "fair_value": 71.692886, "relative_strength": -0.093606, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.108921, "energy": 43.239303, "activity_lines": [ 83.797333, 83.686054, 82.068613, 81.351512 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 81.5, "volume": 140777, "typical_volume": 131348.0, "trend": 80.919248, "fair_value": 71.863452, "relative_strength": -0.528525, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.50747, "energy": 27.165722, "activity_lines": [ 82.964666, 83.412727, 82.141006, 81.389173 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }