{ "ticker": { "uuid": "008d97c7-b9de-4b44-98c0-61a4725cc4fd", "symbol": "600348", "name": "Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 54.507, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.242, "architecture_energy": 20.609, "architecture_maturity": 51.126, "architecture_confidence": 63.823, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.0, "rotation_up": 26.43, "upward_expansion": 15.04, "deceleration": 46.39, "rotation_down": 25.19, "downward_expansion": 60.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.476693, 8.334631, 8.677206, 8.89966 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.48, "trend_reference": 9.099395, "distance_from_trend": -0.06807, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.75572, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.093387, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.379676, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.103594, "excess_performance": -0.06039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.06807, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011606, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.093387, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219168, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003797, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145968, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.103594, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.115143, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 170411958, "relative_activity": 1.081678, "balance": 1.115143, "dry_up": 0.977015, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080128, "annualized_volatility": 0.373034, "from_high_reference": -0.199245, "from_low_reference": 0.250737 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.099395, "fair_value_reference": 7.75572, "structural_low": 7.518207, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.005873, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.136164, "worst_return": -0.173301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.014349, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.040459, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.106742, "worst_return": -0.095023, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.033099, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057809, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.154982, "worst_return": -0.122721, "sufficient": false }, { 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"stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.657895, "energy": 70.302641, "activity_lines": [ 8.028731, 8.319823, 8.817756, 8.998983 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.58, "volume": 170957163, "typical_volume": 172559179.4, "trend": 9.077062, "fair_value": 7.737131, "relative_strength": 5.356735, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.757393, "energy": 40.742556, "activity_lines": [ 8.236726, 8.315789, 8.766319, 8.968635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.62, "volume": 134604382, "typical_volume": 161545485.35, "trend": 9.092062, "fair_value": 7.746342, "relative_strength": 5.121526, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.486576, "energy": 26.551222, "activity_lines": [ 8.416445, 8.335573, 8.724786, 8.939148 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.48, "volume": 170411958, "typical_volume": 157544083.5, "trend": 9.099395, "fair_value": 7.75572, "relative_strength": 0.379676, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.241781, "energy": 20.60918, "activity_lines": [ 8.476693, 8.334631, 8.677206, 8.89966 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }