{ "ticker": { "uuid": "008f4640-1637-4685-a186-31e54effff42", "symbol": "CHEF", "name": "The Chefs Warehouse Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.908, "architecture_energy": 70.532, "architecture_maturity": 53.203, "architecture_confidence": 78.357, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 76.13, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 58.64, "rotation_down": 14.44, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 105.796, 101.156091, 92.289833, 85.463366 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 110.2, "trend_reference": 77.717167, "distance_from_trend": 0.417962, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.841987, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.12569, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 37.782381, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.652917, "excess_performance": 0.465464, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.417962, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180968, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.12569, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.384121, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.377824, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.308366, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.652917, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.179793, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2192466, "relative_activity": 0.865262, "balance": 2.179793, "dry_up": 1.373742, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074075, "annualized_volatility": 0.51726, "from_high_reference": -0.060793, "from_low_reference": 1.071429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.717167, "fair_value_reference": 51.841987, "structural_low": 56.56, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.00888, "positive_rate": 0.516129, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": 0.007981, "regime_survival": 0.741935, "best_return": 0.206338, "worst_return": -0.171478, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.035392, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.001412, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.399687, "worst_return": -0.094295, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.038368, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.042264, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.699193, "worst_return": -0.223235, "sufficient": true }, { 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.900525, "energy": 62.22314, "activity_lines": [ 95.811333, 93.551, 86.056405, 80.614226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 115.35, "volume": 5397382, "typical_volume": 2565556.55, "trend": 76.076833, "fair_value": 51.327692, "relative_strength": 52.696979, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.253872, "energy": 74.495773, "activity_lines": [ 102.309667, 98.175273, 89.53919, 83.261871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 110.2, "volume": 2192466, "typical_volume": 2533875.25, "trend": 77.717167, "fair_value": 51.841987, "relative_strength": 37.782381, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.908426, "energy": 70.531714, "activity_lines": [ 105.796, 101.156091, 92.289833, 85.463366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }