{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00924d85-0c77-497d-b78c-7bdfcb8a6d97", "symbol": "REBN", "name": "Reborn Coffee Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.218, "architecture_energy": 47.618, "architecture_maturity": 19.233, "architecture_confidence": 90.333, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.54, "rotation_up": 18.47, "upward_expansion": 7.01, "deceleration": 48.28, "rotation_down": 55.78, "downward_expansion": 78.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.345133, 1.397945, 1.659081, 1.779284 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.51, "trend_reference": 1.865133, "distance_from_trend": -0.190406, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.790328, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.458845, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.028194, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.127168, "excess_performance": -0.314621, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.190406, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030176, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.458845, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222766, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.330282, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239021, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127168, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.005988, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 360247, "relative_activity": 1.134129, "balance": 1.005988, "dry_up": 1.789471, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.239694, "annualized_volatility": 0.925392, "from_high_reference": -0.559767, "from_low_reference": 0.665196 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.865133, "fair_value_reference": 2.790328, "structural_low": 0.9068, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.072673, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.061324, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 2.129038, "worst_return": -0.484694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.387978, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.321728, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.300654, "worst_return": -0.179372, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.313992, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.271064, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.846939, "worst_return": -0.416667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 1.899833, "fair_value": 2.939056, "relative_strength": -34.380262, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.420066, "energy": 55.204393, "activity_lines": [ 1.546, 1.718909, 1.960095, 1.954989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.46, "volume": 139876, "typical_volume": 284572.95, "trend": 1.8935, "fair_value": 2.907784, "relative_strength": -39.750708, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.773659, "energy": 48.626055, "activity_lines": [ 1.516667, 1.637455, 1.90719, 1.926613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.385, "volume": 86800, "typical_volume": 276784.4, "trend": 1.891, "fair_value": 2.877124, "relative_strength": -39.47627, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.726956, "energy": 51.715144, "activity_lines": [ 1.475, 1.562727, 1.848286, 1.893806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.999, "volume": 811748, "typical_volume": 311405.95, "trend": 1.8753, "fair_value": 2.843015, "relative_strength": -54.661321, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.514935, "energy": 75.902178, "activity_lines": [ 1.305667, 1.437, 1.754548, 1.836258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.35, "volume": 1014849, "typical_volume": 312537.65, "trend": 1.8678, "fair_value": 2.816289, "relative_strength": -38.02609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.6101, "energy": 65.250553, "activity_lines": [ 1.294067, 1.395109, 1.697671, 1.802368 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.51, "volume": 360247, "typical_volume": 317641.9, "trend": 1.865133, "fair_value": 2.790328, "relative_strength": -33.028194, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.217617, "energy": 47.618247, "activity_lines": [ 1.345133, 1.397945, 1.659081, 1.779284 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }