{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0093b773-9b38-4062-a7c7-0b37759f1e54", "symbol": "605056", "name": "Xianheng International Science&Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.116, "architecture_energy": 81.144, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.225, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.98, "rotation_up": 16.47, "upward_expansion": 19.74, "deceleration": 38.58, "rotation_down": 70.7, "downward_expansion": 95.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.922667, 14.742182, 17.743524, 19.414174 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.16, "trend_reference": 20.660054, "distance_from_trend": -0.266217, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.45618, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.048686, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.319094, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.302585, "excess_performance": -0.259381, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.266217, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030394, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.048686, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.744747, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.183191, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.469197, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.302585, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.618135, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60199771, "relative_activity": 1.609568, "balance": 0.618135, "dry_up": 0.945814, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149791, "annualized_volatility": 0.546181, "from_high_reference": -0.498043, "from_low_reference": 0.237551 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.660054, "fair_value_reference": 14.45618, "structural_low": 12.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.058631, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.072249, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.419522, "worst_return": -0.101113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.152271, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.051021, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.155822, "worst_return": 0.041744, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.150271, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.05966, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.200371, "worst_return": 0.100171, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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21.712846 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 14.77, "volume": 26648786, "typical_volume": 38920007.2, "trend": 21.161388, "fair_value": 14.429999, "relative_strength": -22.254997, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -53.125821, "energy": 78.384606, "activity_lines": [ 16.100666, 17.910955, 20.735274, 21.290439 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.42, "volume": 25507657, "typical_volume": 37920740.55, "trend": 20.991207, "fair_value": 14.430181, "relative_strength": -24.804068, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.381175, "energy": 91.87149, "activity_lines": [ 15.038, 16.767416, 19.888336, 20.790995 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.53, "volume": 27171717, "typical_volume": 37283092.95, "trend": 20.805417, "fair_value": 14.43126, "relative_strength": -30.473454, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.446571, "energy": 92.461388, "activity_lines": [ 13.982667, 15.674737, 19.00694, 20.245111 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.46, "volume": 28619156, "typical_volume": 35951295.65, "trend": 20.694105, "fair_value": 14.437151, "relative_strength": -25.504622, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.597472, "energy": 87.954485, "activity_lines": [ 13.585333, 14.954389, 18.269551, 19.771213 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.16, "volume": 60199771, "typical_volume": 37401204.4, "trend": 20.660054, "fair_value": 14.45618, "relative_strength": -18.319094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.11572, "energy": 81.14416, "activity_lines": [ 13.922667, 14.742182, 17.743524, 19.414174 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }