{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "009fe632-8034-4137-bf87-60f93ed145bb",
    "symbol": "MTZ",
    "name": "MasTec Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 57.571,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -40.295,
    "architecture_energy": 63.758,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.155,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.762,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.67,
        "rotation_up": 14.11,
        "upward_expansion": 27.65,
        "deceleration": 49.78,
        "rotation_down": 72.77,
        "downward_expansion": 54.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        297.352667,
        327.648182,
        352.01981,
        347.617806
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 272.46,
    "trend_reference": 331.033333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.176941,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 166.964872,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.63184,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.50863,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.05132,
    "excess_performance": -0.074305,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.176941,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153666,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.63184,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.199718,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115086,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.731543,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05132,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.56185,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7992381,
      "relative_activity": 1.433865,
      "balance": 0.56185,
      "dry_up": 1.370405,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.156782,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.506908,
      "from_high_reference": -0.382779,
      "from_low_reference": 0.625075
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 331.033333,
      "fair_value_reference": 166.964872,
      "structural_low": 252.4501,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.047098,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046022,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": -0.009457,
        "worst_return": -0.25127,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.026285,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024984,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.34534,
        "worst_return": -0.275888,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.006976,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038673,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.574819,
        "worst_return": -0.044201,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.06017,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079368,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.406839,
        "worst_return": -0.107928,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.18044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02717,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.078606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.031443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.119678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.204223,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.064431,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.063299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.22436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.142025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.646487,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.275147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 94.16,
        "volume": 2269564,
        "typical_volume": 3273665.8,
        "trend": 99.649,
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        "relative_strength": -5.745965,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 26.820025,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 329.59,
        "volume": 7916856,
        "typical_volume": 5249419.0,
        "trend": 324.285333,
        "fair_value": 163.357821,
        "relative_strength": 12.975246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.902835,
        "energy": 6.145613,
        "activity_lines": [
          362.130667,
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          372.385905,
          354.598473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 337.84,
        "volume": 4180324,
        "typical_volume": 5192790.1,
        "trend": 328.066667,
        "fair_value": 164.773333,
        "relative_strength": 15.570651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.767748,
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          351.289333,
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          370.168571,
          355.472968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 263.1,
        "volume": 10465053,
        "typical_volume": 5435578.2,
        "trend": 329.248333,
        "fair_value": 165.821667,
        "relative_strength": -11.271089,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -43.559652,
        "energy": 44.342479,
        "activity_lines": [
          318.322667,
          342.800727,
          360.584429,
          351.28157
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 272.46,
        "volume": 7992381,
        "typical_volume": 5574013.5,
        "trend": 331.033333,
        "fair_value": 166.964872,
        "relative_strength": -11.50863,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -40.295123,
        "energy": 63.757988,
        "activity_lines": [
          297.352667,
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          347.617806
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}