{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00aa4118-267c-4338-afec-5f99e47d1dd6", "symbol": "301387", "name": "Shenzhen Bromake New Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.495, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.812, "architecture_energy": 56.504, "architecture_maturity": 18.27, "architecture_confidence": 77.137, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.14, "rotation_up": 14.09, "upward_expansion": 26.05, "deceleration": 50.98, "rotation_down": 70.02, "downward_expansion": 53.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.056667, 65.911041, 75.580922, 73.590408 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 55.93, "trend_reference": 70.208588, "distance_from_trend": -0.203374, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.576385, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.313639, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.634785, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.054118, "excess_performance": -0.061518, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203374, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.183304, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.313639, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.860521, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056348, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.511224, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.054118, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.259332, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13153205, "relative_activity": 0.846646, "balance": 1.259332, "dry_up": 0.937374, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.312648, "annualized_volatility": 0.909815, "from_high_reference": -0.540898, "from_low_reference": 0.538229 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.208588, "fair_value_reference": 42.576385, "structural_low": 43.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.159013, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.110988, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.159013, "worst_return": 0.159013, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.622146, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.46606, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.622146, "worst_return": 0.622146, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.448176, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 1.205949, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.448176, "worst_return": 1.448176, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"volume": 14663041, "typical_volume": 15353435.35, "trend": 70.190921, "fair_value": 42.42808, "relative_strength": -14.074131, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.255957, "energy": 50.454329, "activity_lines": [ 56.175874, 70.237544, 77.427006, 74.510468 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.93, "volume": 13153205, "typical_volume": 15535661.35, "trend": 70.208588, "fair_value": 42.576385, "relative_strength": -5.634785, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.811586, "energy": 56.504459, "activity_lines": [ 54.056667, 65.911041, 75.580922, 73.590408 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }