{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00ab7818-a1b5-4efa-8f7f-b536603e726d", "symbol": "BERK34", "name": "Berkshire Hathaway Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 72.742, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 42.852, "architecture_energy": 31.848, "architecture_maturity": 20.884, "architecture_confidence": 51.161, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.97, "rotation_up": 51.31, "upward_expansion": 47.5, "deceleration": 43.03, "rotation_down": 24.46, "downward_expansion": 10.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 128.942667, 128.272728, 125.633952, 125.24729 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 131.910004, "trend_reference": 125.602667, "distance_from_trend": 0.050217, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 121.77141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.083259, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.305404, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.002269, "excess_performance": 0.054779, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050217, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021062, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.083259, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097203, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.023054, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.231731, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.002269, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.978103, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126500, "relative_activity": 0.620455, "balance": 0.978103, "dry_up": 0.773242, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033974, "annualized_volatility": 0.158663, "from_high_reference": -0.060068, "from_low_reference": 0.155585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 125.602667, "fair_value_reference": 121.77141, "structural_low": 114.150002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.008037, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.024234, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.00611, "worst_return": -0.044701, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.040867, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.09533, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.039077, "worst_return": -0.042658, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.047817, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.088624, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.008411, "worst_return": -0.087223, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 203882.75, "trend": 125.602667, "fair_value": 121.77141, "relative_strength": -2.305404, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.852449, "energy": 31.847552, "activity_lines": [ 128.942667, 128.272728, 125.633952, 125.24729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }