{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00b6b294-991f-4599-ade4-612798087bc4", "symbol": "002207", "name": "Xinjiang Zhundong Petroleum Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.363, "architecture_energy": 59.478, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.309, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 15.63, "upward_expansion": 10.53, "deceleration": 46.44, "rotation_down": 65.6, "downward_expansion": 83.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.708667, 6.030182, 6.841286, 7.547699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.89, "trend_reference": 8.356, "distance_from_trend": -0.295117, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.678718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.118094, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.425883, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.470324, "excess_performance": -0.477723, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.295117, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055499, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.118094, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.314621, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.304259, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099225, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.470324, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.593397, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56582160, "relative_activity": 0.630521, "balance": 0.593397, "dry_up": 0.804852, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192242, "annualized_volatility": 0.786084, "from_high_reference": -0.632105, "from_low_reference": 0.280435 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.356, "fair_value_reference": 6.678718, "structural_low": 4.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.045977, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.027535, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.345382, "worst_return": -0.191045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.022718, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026185, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.323077, "worst_return": -0.183124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.005479, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.07199, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.149451, "worst_return": -0.128352, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.924921, "energy": 84.739057, "activity_lines": [ 6.102, 6.821091, 7.483571, 8.089226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.27, "volume": 89851879, "typical_volume": 109883077.0, "trend": 8.459333, "fair_value": 6.694038, "relative_strength": -36.303795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.262103, "energy": 83.008414, "activity_lines": [ 5.754667, 6.408909, 7.198286, 7.879032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.84, "volume": 72113202, "typical_volume": 97809297.95, "trend": 8.406333, "fair_value": 6.686154, "relative_strength": -27.85777, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.267296, "energy": 71.51237, "activity_lines": [ 5.708, 6.189091, 7.004714, 7.710043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.89, "volume": 56582160, "typical_volume": 89738808.15, "trend": 8.356, "fair_value": 6.678718, "relative_strength": -30.425883, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.363083, "energy": 59.478469, "activity_lines": [ 5.708667, 6.030182, 6.841286, 7.547699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }