{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00d601b4-6045-4b2c-a085-3da2fb350e11", "symbol": "PULS", "name": "Pulsar Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.028, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.307, "architecture_energy": 72.586, "architecture_maturity": 23.345, "architecture_confidence": 91.127, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.77, "rotation_up": 13.02, "upward_expansion": 16.22, "deceleration": 38.18, "rotation_down": 71.88, "downward_expansion": 91.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.353333, 0.363182, 0.376857, 0.391484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.35, "trend_reference": 0.407833, "distance_from_trend": -0.141806, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.510417, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.314286, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.931378, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.204545, "excess_performance": -0.255781, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.141806, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004516, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.314286, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05825, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179314, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115087, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.204545, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.122496, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83366, "relative_activity": 0.166416, "balance": 0.122496, "dry_up": 0.160748, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073956, "annualized_volatility": 0.191837, "from_high_reference": -0.3, "from_low_reference": 0.057402 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.407833, "fair_value_reference": 0.510417, "structural_low": 0.3325, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.031532, "positive_rate": 0.243243, "directional_follow_through": 0.594595, "median_excess_return": -0.026497, "regime_survival": 0.837838, "best_return": 0.103704, "worst_return": -0.237288, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.069444, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.091149, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.173333, "worst_return": -0.211382, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.115385, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.147807, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.15942, "worst_return": -0.365854, "sufficient": true }, { 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-78.630737, "energy": 59.97869, "activity_lines": [ 0.369, 0.376545, 0.390405, 0.402452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.355, "volume": 57479, "typical_volume": 496049.4, "trend": 0.41, "fair_value": 0.51359, "relative_strength": -16.61656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.938158, "energy": 68.810494, "activity_lines": [ 0.362333, 0.371636, 0.385548, 0.398839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.355, "volume": 126426, "typical_volume": 497309.4, "trend": 0.409, "fair_value": 0.512019, "relative_strength": -17.079664, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.279207, "energy": 71.943394, "activity_lines": [ 0.357667, 0.367545, 0.381238, 0.39529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.35, "volume": 83366, "typical_volume": 500950.3, "trend": 0.407833, "fair_value": 0.510417, "relative_strength": -17.931378, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.307175, "energy": 72.585896, "activity_lines": [ 0.353333, 0.363182, 0.376857, 0.391484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }