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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.901, "architecture_energy": 60.471, "architecture_maturity": 41.419, "architecture_confidence": 81.13, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.62, "rotation_up": 67.97, "upward_expansion": 84.21, "deceleration": 51.83, "rotation_down": 13.21, "downward_expansion": 10.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 239.777333, 235.144909, 225.854811, 219.924447 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 236.92, "trend_reference": 211.963798, "distance_from_trend": 0.117738, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 141.551368, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.673739, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.948648, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.217646, "excess_performance": 0.092021, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.117738, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062371, "read": "Rising" 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.144996, "energy": 72.380839, "activity_lines": [ 227.447333, 220.670563, 215.328498, 211.087658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 243.25, "volume": 13279616, "typical_volume": 15744285.4, "trend": 206.416851, "fair_value": 138.406128, "relative_strength": 15.630691, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.785487, "energy": 83.659469, "activity_lines": [ 234.14, 225.408, 218.389978, 213.589839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 252.07, "volume": 13461332, "typical_volume": 15622903.7, "trend": 208.600262, "fair_value": 139.533863, "relative_strength": 19.808927, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.747402, "energy": 89.307823, "activity_lines": [ 241.838, 231.215636, 222.116105, 216.535203 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 234.44, "volume": 16922937, "typical_volume": 15740577.95, "trend": 210.226462, "fair_value": 140.540331, "relative_strength": 9.868105, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.321597, "energy": 75.200698, "activity_lines": [ 240.631333, 233.120909, 223.932402, 218.202283 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 236.92, "volume": 18607442, "typical_volume": 15607793.7, "trend": 211.963798, "fair_value": 141.551368, "relative_strength": 6.948648, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.901203, "energy": 60.47117, "activity_lines": [ 239.777333, 235.144909, 225.854811, 219.924447 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }