{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00ea2f19-779f-4d25-9238-39e3da169124", "symbol": "LASA", "name": "Lasa Supergenerics Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 68.667, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.748, "architecture_energy": 22.916, "architecture_maturity": 16.792, "architecture_confidence": 91.277, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.1, "rotation_up": 20.47, "upward_expansion": 4.08, "deceleration": 49.04, "rotation_down": 47.41, "downward_expansion": 75.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.333333, 7.353636, 7.542429, 7.592473 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.99, "trend_reference": 7.814, "distance_from_trend": 0.022524, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.059295, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.580782, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.381692, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.099211, "excess_performance": -0.055502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022524, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103522, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.580782, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015748, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093817, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069881, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.099211, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.988361, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 246209, "relative_activity": 2.032221, "balance": 0.988361, "dry_up": 1.403587, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101473, "annualized_volatility": 0.563186, "from_high_reference": -0.432528, "from_low_reference": 0.409171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.814, "fair_value_reference": 19.059295, "structural_low": 5.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.051867, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.575, "median_excess_return": -0.059966, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.324324, "worst_return": -0.319978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.084375, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.117245, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.070346, "worst_return": -0.438298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.188679, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.177543, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.144939, "worst_return": -0.594381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.388601, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.435811, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.209553, "worst_return": -0.530792, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-10-13", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074954, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-02-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.080935, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-02-23", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.270062, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.11572, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.046964, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.18771, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.026786, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030164, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.125554, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.503951, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.049808, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.169811, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.048811, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07537, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 24.4, "volume": 244751, "typical_volume": 377135.6, "trend": 23.591667, "fair_value": 52.478247, "relative_strength": -18.173348, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance 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"trend": 8.063, "fair_value": 19.281987, "relative_strength": -19.63417, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.141956, "energy": 45.891589, "activity_lines": [ 7.212667, 7.375455, 7.557095, 7.664387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.87, "volume": 127296, "typical_volume": 119034.55, "trend": 7.911667, "fair_value": 19.166731, "relative_strength": -21.894872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.695563, "energy": 50.558537, "activity_lines": [ 7.062, 7.252545, 7.495429, 7.587419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.99, "volume": 246209, "typical_volume": 121152.65, "trend": 7.814, "fair_value": 19.059295, "relative_strength": -9.381692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.74832, "energy": 22.916088, "activity_lines": [ 7.333333, 7.353636, 7.542429, 7.592473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }