{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "00f1b236-bdbe-483b-832e-6d89c220ece2",
    "symbol": "QNRX",
    "name": "Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd DRC",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.868,
    "architecture_energy": 37.739,
    "architecture_maturity": 92.795,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.373,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.08,
        "rotation_up": 26.67,
        "upward_expansion": 16.54,
        "deceleration": 64.58,
        "rotation_down": 41.6,
        "downward_expansion": 66.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.501333,
        4.474727,
        4.776286,
        5.364634
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 4.79,
    "trend_reference": 6.2702,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.236069,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 39.785931,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.879606,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -52.369451,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.329132,
    "excess_performance": -0.516585,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.236069,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.338775,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.879606,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018181,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.523695,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040142,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.329132,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.057384,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 81029,
      "relative_activity": 0.079574,
      "balance": 0.057384,
      "dry_up": 0.070536,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.167846,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.678006,
      "from_high_reference": -0.885407,
      "from_low_reference": 0.473846
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.2702,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.785931,
      "structural_low": 3.25,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": -0.103715,
        "positive_rate": 0.404255,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.595745,
        "median_excess_return": -0.107962,
        "regime_survival": 0.893617,
        "best_return": 1.697368,
        "worst_return": -0.698718,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.414431,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.370207,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 1.009358,
        "worst_return": -0.764758,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.542682,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.530252,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.856093,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1020142.45,
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        "relative_strength": -57.337404,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 52.022965,
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          5.816135
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 42132,
        "typical_volume": 1018787.7,
        "trend": 6.838533,
        "fair_value": 42.565963,
        "relative_strength": -55.746685,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.860835,
        "energy": 50.156426,
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          4.354667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.45,
        "volume": 70468,
        "typical_volume": 1016795.65,
        "trend": 6.517533,
        "fair_value": 41.08904,
        "relative_strength": -53.870743,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.120622,
        "energy": 47.836767,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.371333,
          4.419273,
          4.829529,
          5.476088
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.79,
        "volume": 81029,
        "typical_volume": 1018282.1,
        "trend": 6.2702,
        "fair_value": 39.785931,
        "relative_strength": -52.369451,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.867523,
        "energy": 37.73887,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.501333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}