{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00f27647-6baa-4aef-a037-edfb43e890d2", "symbol": "300143", "name": "INKON Life Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.369, "architecture_energy": 45.235, "architecture_maturity": 97.772, "architecture_confidence": 85.502, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.15, "rotation_up": 27.94, "upward_expansion": 21.45, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 34.46, "downward_expansion": 66.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.324667, 7.172727, 7.537928, 8.322051 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.66, "trend_reference": 9.394797, "distance_from_trend": -0.184655, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.43932, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.188501, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.303007, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.331004, "excess_performance": -0.338404, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184655, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100126, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.188501, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079723, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.26303, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06454, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.331004, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.257006, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58404400, "relative_activity": 0.869621, "balance": 1.257006, "dry_up": 1.081229, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074712, "annualized_volatility": 0.538243, "from_high_reference": -0.467316, "from_low_reference": 0.178462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.394797, "fair_value_reference": 9.43932, "structural_low": 6.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.021248, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": 0.002411, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.273232, "worst_return": -0.176092, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.067644, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.016077, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.277124, "worst_return": -0.263462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.105201, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.015163, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.327609, "worst_return": -0.214627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"down", "direction": -68.49539, "energy": 88.630651, "activity_lines": [ 6.948667, 7.357154, 8.327925, 9.111039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.01, "volume": 45903977, "typical_volume": 76336277.2, "trend": 9.757797, "fair_value": 9.538102, "relative_strength": -38.439296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.913836, "energy": 87.513321, "activity_lines": [ 6.942, 7.224153, 8.106145, 8.92716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.08, "volume": 96336598, "typical_volume": 79758208.1, "trend": 9.66513, "fair_value": 9.510794, "relative_strength": -31.035262, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.851266, "energy": 79.761365, "activity_lines": [ 6.992, 7.133267, 7.91165, 8.754399 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.92, "volume": 55981013, "typical_volume": 78322761.7, "trend": 9.557463, "fair_value": 9.483102, "relative_strength": -32.203478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.826602, "energy": 64.120089, "activity_lines": [ 6.982667, 7.042938, 7.723155, 8.577294 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.41, "volume": 79742789, "typical_volume": 72872635.45, "trend": 9.468797, "fair_value": 9.459448, "relative_strength": -25.650441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.484877, "energy": 55.043064, "activity_lines": [ 7.14, 7.077464, 7.604423, 8.438748 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.66, "volume": 58404400, "typical_volume": 67160773.55, "trend": 9.394797, "fair_value": 9.43932, "relative_strength": -26.303007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.368834, "energy": 45.234652, "activity_lines": [ 7.324667, 7.172727, 7.537928, 8.322051 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }