{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00fd3649-639a-4f9b-84be-a6ac435f658d", "symbol": "8455", "name": "Daito Me Holdings Co., Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.927, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -15.768, "architecture_energy": 20.528, "architecture_maturity": 26.991, "architecture_confidence": 64.337, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.73, "rotation_up": 17.28, "upward_expansion": 20.56, "deceleration": 59.35, "rotation_down": 53.48, "downward_expansion": 38.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.2, 25.965454, 28.13119, 27.183118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.0, "trend_reference": 25.601666, "distance_from_trend": 0.015559, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.543821, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.017859, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.28006, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.25908, "excess_performance": -0.182292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015559, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065478, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.017859, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304026, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.242801, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216398, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.25908, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.588174, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23000, "relative_activity": 0.114994, "balance": 1.588174, "dry_up": 0.177128, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.206065, "annualized_volatility": 0.827861, "from_high_reference": -0.458897, "from_low_reference": 0.333333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.601666, "fair_value_reference": 25.543821, "structural_low": 19.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.091033, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.086589, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.210611, "worst_return": -0.306056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.069307, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.081297, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.025724, "worst_return": -0.303571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.160017, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.07263, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.093248, "worst_return": -0.226786, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"close": 24.35, "volume": 48010, "typical_volume": 201727.5, "trend": 25.448333, "fair_value": 25.498713, "relative_strength": -26.06291, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.861447, "energy": 14.807785, "activity_lines": [ 25.746666, 27.33, 28.60119, 27.246559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.0, "volume": 21700, "typical_volume": 200910.55, "trend": 25.535, "fair_value": 25.514538, "relative_strength": -28.25981, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.167488, "energy": 23.548772, "activity_lines": [ 24.98, 26.262727, 28.276904, 27.153118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 26.0, "volume": 23000, "typical_volume": 200010.55, "trend": 25.601666, "fair_value": 25.543821, "relative_strength": -24.28006, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.768057, "energy": 20.527805, "activity_lines": [ 25.2, 25.965454, 28.13119, 27.183118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }