{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "011ea87c-3ba3-458b-af7a-25d2633fdf51",
    "symbol": "NUAG",
    "name": "New Pacific Metals Corp.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.328,
    "architecture_energy": 45.669,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.802,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.32,
        "rotation_up": 65.36,
        "upward_expansion": 67.38,
        "deceleration": 54.25,
        "rotation_down": 12.54,
        "downward_expansion": 15.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.09,
        6.588909,
        6.599524,
        6.492968
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 8.84,
    "trend_reference": 6.255333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.413194,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.123205,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.830426,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 55.805887,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.91757,
    "excess_performance": 0.797149,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.413194,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127697,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.830426,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084195,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.558059,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.217432,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.91757,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.345166,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1232000,
      "relative_activity": 0.949335,
      "balance": 2.345166,
      "dry_up": 0.808592,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.109641,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.945962,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005624,
      "from_low_reference": 3.150235
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.255333,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.123205,
      "structural_low": 4.53,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.039872,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065675,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.360087,
        "worst_return": -0.193029,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.128686,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.120687,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.512821,
        "worst_return": -0.33871,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.16622,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.132255,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 1.226496,
        "worst_return": -0.214286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.329749,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.440297,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.444444,
        "worst_return": -0.421659,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089385,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.094675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.285714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.067227,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.210762,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.065934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.055866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
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        "return": -0.024155,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.358974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
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        "return": 0.31,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.33125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 1406960.0,
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        "fair_value": 2.812115,
        "relative_strength": 80.4506,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1545445.0,
        "trend": 5.311,
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        "energy": 62.434478,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1547140.0,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 40.104759,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 5.643667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 12.399774,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -5.118311,
        "energy": 20.894237,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1462750.0,
        "trend": 5.977,
        "fair_value": 3.012756,
        "relative_strength": 22.268352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 16.454217,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 5.72,
        "volume": 641300,
        "typical_volume": 1442390.0,
        "trend": 6.007667,
        "fair_value": 3.028269,
        "relative_strength": 9.913426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.540491,
        "energy": 24.893587,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.927333,
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          6.42819,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.74,
        "volume": 1115100,
        "typical_volume": 1366130.0,
        "trend": 6.034667,
        "fair_value": 3.044359,
        "relative_strength": 9.311993,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.869761,
        "energy": 29.755167,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.844,
          6.010545,
          6.359143,
          6.272559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.33,
        "volume": 818300,
        "typical_volume": 1326055.0,
        "trend": 6.074667,
        "fair_value": 3.064808,
        "relative_strength": 18.744348,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.228846,
        "energy": 12.22907,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.000667,
          6.028545,
          6.356,
          6.291613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.49,
        "volume": 1032000,
        "typical_volume": 1314655.0,
        "trend": 6.134333,
        "fair_value": 3.086346,
        "relative_strength": 20.544738,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.820448,
        "energy": 6.065609,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.181333,
          6.094,
          6.36781,
          6.318409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.84,
        "volume": 1232000,
        "typical_volume": 1297750.0,
        "trend": 6.255333,
        "fair_value": 3.123205,
        "relative_strength": 55.805887,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.327652,
        "energy": 45.668769,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.09,
          6.588909,
          6.599524,
          6.492968
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}