{ "ticker": { "uuid": "012ad984-c0c7-4941-a380-2f7eeff44260", "symbol": "301076", "name": "Sino-High (China) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.341, "architecture_energy": 72.641, "architecture_maturity": 64.24, "architecture_confidence": 85.677, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.99, "rotation_up": 9.94, "upward_expansion": 16.43, "deceleration": 37.81, "rotation_down": 72.1, "downward_expansion": 89.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.72, 23.542, 26.026211, 27.37361 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.82, "trend_reference": 29.559596, "distance_from_trend": -0.228, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.951221, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.624756, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.325729, "excess_performance": -0.333129, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.228, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094954, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.089197, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.518584, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.336248, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15667, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325729, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.712037, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33279103, "relative_activity": 1.401475, "balance": 0.712037, "dry_up": 1.259125, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.173445, "annualized_volatility": 0.632618, "from_high_reference": -0.551578, "from_low_reference": 0.218366 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.559596, "fair_value_reference": 20.951221, "structural_low": 18.73, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.008374, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.034236, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.196978, "worst_return": -0.204406, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.106444, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.058054, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.493781, "worst_return": -0.171988, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.533707, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.520104, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.830545, "worst_return": 0.236869, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"down", "direction": -74.007083, "energy": 63.081582, "activity_lines": [ 25.326, 26.739371, 28.093707, 29.212771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.5, "volume": 34977232, "typical_volume": 22974679.6, "trend": 30.493301, "fair_value": 20.829487, "relative_strength": -41.532408, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.025144, "energy": 69.833498, "activity_lines": [ 23.143334, 25.165273, 27.209007, 28.477016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.629999, "volume": 20730834, "typical_volume": 22953130.75, "trend": 30.059482, "fair_value": 20.887878, "relative_strength": -37.000357, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.948986, "energy": 78.325019, "activity_lines": [ 21.937333, 24.044182, 26.488179, 27.840674 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.82, "volume": 33279103, "typical_volume": 23745762.95, "trend": 29.559596, "fair_value": 20.951221, "relative_strength": -33.624756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.341044, "energy": 72.641158, "activity_lines": [ 21.72, 23.542, 26.026211, 27.37361 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }