{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0133fa98-cf6a-4130-9df8-b57b1bec5c41", "symbol": "DXCM", "name": "DexCom, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 94.021, "architecture_energy": 94.839, "architecture_maturity": 18.304, "architecture_confidence": 76.976, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.46, "rotation_up": 86.59, "upward_expansion": 96.8, "deceleration": 41.98, "rotation_down": 8.1, "downward_expansion": 21.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 1392.309993, 1334.1909, 1274.255283, 1257.205402 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1499.72998, "trend_reference": 1245.833008, "distance_from_trend": 0.203797, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1566.057884, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.042353, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.829826, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.219293, "excess_performance": 0.273959, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.203797, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036702, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.042353, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.220404, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.168298, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.361541, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.219293, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 26.687719, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 661, "relative_activity": 0.837292, "balance": 26.687719, "dry_up": 4.088923, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042679, "annualized_volatility": 0.412981, "from_high_reference": -0.051404, "from_low_reference": 0.411444 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1245.833008, "fair_value_reference": 1566.057884, "structural_low": 1064.650024, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.009914, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.00322, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.136914, "worst_return": -0.32158, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.06787, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.109589, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.249825, "worst_return": -0.398323, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.090034, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.142901, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.180477, "worst_return": -0.333711, 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"typical_volume": 834.1, "trend": 1227.442008, "fair_value": 1579.227242, "relative_strength": 4.170265, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 67.513985, "energy": 75.284543, "activity_lines": [ 1282.610661, 1254.653624, 1226.903765, 1226.682566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1235.0, "volume": 160, "typical_volume": 825.75, "trend": 1228.175342, "fair_value": 1572.868268, "relative_strength": -4.062868, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.689474, "energy": 37.758184, "activity_lines": [ 1271.981331, 1257.582717, 1228.169192, 1227.170178 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1430.0, "volume": 583, "typical_volume": 854.9, "trend": 1236.008675, "fair_value": 1568.527564, "relative_strength": 10.868385, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.825273, "energy": 72.689457, "activity_lines": [ 1326.8, 1292.869083, 1248.239382, 1240.191124 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1499.72998, "volume": 661, "typical_volume": 789.45, "trend": 1245.833008, "fair_value": 1566.057884, "relative_strength": 16.829826, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.021107, "energy": 94.838777, "activity_lines": [ 1392.309993, 1334.1909, 1274.255283, 1257.205402 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }