{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "013f0bda-309f-4f4d-a875-bba7eea9e6db",
    "symbol": "WM",
    "name": "Waste Management, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 52.495,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.644,
    "architecture_energy": 48.919,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.418,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.795,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.76,
        "rotation_up": 65.47,
        "upward_expansion": 80.64,
        "deceleration": 52.06,
        "rotation_down": 11.43,
        "downward_expansion": 7.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        202.770005,
        201.29273,
        196.787424,
        196.552507
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 199.350006,
    "trend_reference": 195.87787,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.017726,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 185.764816,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.073131,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -15.058109,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.040738,
    "excess_performance": -0.133509,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017726,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026999,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073131,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059156,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.150581,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04033,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040738,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.741627,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 364,
      "relative_activity": 2.792482,
      "balance": 2.741627,
      "dry_up": 1.54392,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039941,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.241541,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073652,
      "from_low_reference": 0.182807
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 195.87787,
      "fair_value_reference": 185.764816,
      "structural_low": 180.828583,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.007834,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.464286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004479,
        "regime_survival": 0.678571,
        "best_return": 0.102306,
        "worst_return": -0.057632,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.013389,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003346,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.22479,
        "worst_return": -0.093985,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.042026,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04066,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.13149,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.168323,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.27196,
        "worst_return": -0.066266,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.04197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.072943,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010153,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 184.062103,
        "volume": 81,
        "typical_volume": 141.6,
        "trend": 190.170588,
        "fair_value": 181.525278,
        "relative_strength": -19.091111,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -10.631039,
        "energy": 21.093206,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 188.589035,
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        "typical_volume": 143.05,
        "trend": 190.361262,
        "fair_value": 181.802155,
        "relative_strength": -16.21398,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.520936,
        "energy": 21.920983,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 52,
        "typical_volume": 138.05,
        "trend": 190.401884,
        "fair_value": 182.072952,
        "relative_strength": -18.658926,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.290504,
        "energy": 36.517158,
        "activity_lines": [
          188.181112,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 181.624527,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 132.3,
        "trend": 190.728378,
        "fair_value": 182.297189,
        "relative_strength": -21.810298,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.2742,
        "energy": 52.386341,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 190.800003,
        "volume": 50,
        "typical_volume": 134.35,
        "trend": 191.340902,
        "fair_value": 182.601663,
        "relative_strength": -16.356746,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.216591,
        "energy": 32.39078,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 190.199997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 132.85,
        "trend": 191.792052,
        "fair_value": 182.893723,
        "relative_strength": -18.257945,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.381013,
        "energy": 24.195013,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 186.399994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 105.8,
        "trend": 191.799432,
        "fair_value": 183.147348,
        "relative_strength": -22.478715,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.251677,
        "energy": 23.262584,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 199.100006,
        "volume": 150,
        "typical_volume": 108.65,
        "trend": 192.226843,
        "fair_value": 183.457291,
        "relative_strength": -15.073321,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.278618,
        "energy": 14.126185,
        "activity_lines": [
          191.661635,
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          192.181603,
          192.859206
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 199.649994,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 109.15,
        "trend": 192.747779,
        "fair_value": 183.784224,
        "relative_strength": -16.345247,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.173498,
        "energy": 22.316898,
        "activity_lines": [
          195.003332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 202.800003,
        "volume": 468,
        "typical_volume": 124.35,
        "trend": 193.424812,
        "fair_value": 184.166845,
        "relative_strength": -13.458359,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.80049,
        "energy": 37.388419,
        "activity_lines": [
          198.193333,
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          193.384846,
          193.98665
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 212.100006,
        "volume": 75,
        "typical_volume": 112.2,
        "trend": 194.323589,
        "fair_value": 184.57787,
        "relative_strength": -7.309601,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.083972,
        "energy": 73.20131,
        "activity_lines": [
          203.683335,
          197.710412,
          194.979685,
          195.191501
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 208.800003,
        "volume": 208,
        "typical_volume": 110.0,
        "trend": 195.079851,
        "fair_value": 185.005684,
        "relative_strength": -9.561068,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.903829,
        "energy": 78.721802,
        "activity_lines": [
          206.613336,
          200.460984,
          196.204833,
          196.125463
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 197.850006,
        "volume": 158,
        "typical_volume": 112.15,
        "trend": 195.500974,
        "fair_value": 185.381055,
        "relative_strength": -13.718449,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.117093,
        "energy": 65.08336,
        "activity_lines": [
          204.400004,
          200.853175,
          196.397914,
          196.304183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 199.350006,
        "volume": 364,
        "typical_volume": 130.35,
        "trend": 195.87787,
        "fair_value": 185.764816,
        "relative_strength": -15.058109,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.644197,
        "energy": 48.918682,
        "activity_lines": [
          202.770005,
          201.29273,
          196.787424,
          196.552507
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}