{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0140b8fc-59c8-4aba-8318-d78beb016df0", "symbol": "300318", "name": "Beijing Bohui Innovation Biotechnology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.644, "architecture_energy": 29.072, "architecture_maturity": 93.265, "architecture_confidence": 81.002, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.48, "rotation_up": 27.66, "upward_expansion": 17.25, "deceleration": 46.9, "rotation_down": 27.64, "downward_expansion": 62.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.738, 4.636364, 4.83181, 5.114452 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.95, "trend_reference": 5.520333, "distance_from_trend": -0.103315, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.67609, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.127921, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.974253, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.253394, "excess_performance": -0.260793, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103315, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103745, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.127921, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123469, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179743, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064815, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.253394, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.954843, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31862400, "relative_activity": 0.947506, "balance": 0.954843, "dry_up": 1.497338, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078011, "annualized_volatility": 0.284565, "from_high_reference": -0.426419, "from_low_reference": 0.189904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.520333, "fair_value_reference": 5.67609, "structural_low": 4.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.007737, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.0033, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.542254, "worst_return": -0.204663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.025, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.021488, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.176577, "worst_return": -0.184713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.03125, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.042626, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.625352, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.052189, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.072214, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.047782, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007117, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.052252, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 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5.62, "fair_value": 5.682628, "relative_strength": -24.970779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.266812, "energy": 52.882944, "activity_lines": [ 4.533333, 4.559091, 4.894, 5.210215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.75, "volume": 37413779, "typical_volume": 33747947.4, "trend": 5.564333, "fair_value": 5.678782, "relative_strength": -17.949824, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.645901, "energy": 39.398461, "activity_lines": [ 4.621333, 4.576, 4.849857, 5.154086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.95, "volume": 31862400, "typical_volume": 33627641.95, "trend": 5.520333, "fair_value": 5.67609, "relative_strength": -17.974253, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.644105, "energy": 29.071536, "activity_lines": [ 4.738, 4.636364, 4.83181, 5.114452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }