{ "ticker": { "uuid": "014e0e55-4ee0-41e5-8150-9632f91b1a3f", "symbol": "5519", "name": "LongDa Construction & Development Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.079, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.252, "architecture_energy": 21.904, "architecture_maturity": 7.227, "architecture_confidence": 61.25, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.58, "rotation_up": 18.32, "upward_expansion": 16.62, "deceleration": 60.18, "rotation_down": 61.38, "downward_expansion": 43.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.963334, 28.392217, 28.432183, 28.380947 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.75, "trend_reference": 28.156029, "distance_from_trend": -0.014421, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.222941, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.019361, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.085524, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06741, "excess_performance": -0.373962, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014421, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017119, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.019361, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02317, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.270855, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036769, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06741, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.816715, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1539765, "relative_activity": 0.568077, "balance": 0.816715, "dry_up": 0.583118, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040223, "annualized_volatility": 0.163424, "from_high_reference": -0.088723, "from_low_reference": 0.191026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.156029, "fair_value_reference": 27.222941, "structural_low": 25.740527, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.014085, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.015395, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.076175, "worst_return": -0.135514, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.011725, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.171966, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.145986, "worst_return": -0.189252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.035815, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.216835, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.068126, "worst_return": -0.149158, 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"fair_value": 27.004823, "relative_strength": -24.412495, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.48011, "energy": 13.372736, "activity_lines": [ 28.639533, 28.804291, 28.58573, 28.42521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.200001, "volume": 1866959, "typical_volume": 2894353.65, "trend": 28.186715, "fair_value": 27.079583, "relative_strength": -22.608677, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.53277, "energy": 16.033619, "activity_lines": [ 28.414282, 28.714922, 28.551973, 28.424172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.950001, "volume": 1035186, "typical_volume": 2752426.75, "trend": 28.183271, "fair_value": 27.152023, "relative_strength": -24.61934, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.519355, "energy": 17.289171, "activity_lines": [ 28.167302, 28.575874, 28.498398, 28.4089 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 27.75, "volume": 1539765, "typical_volume": 2710484.8, "trend": 28.156029, "fair_value": 27.222941, "relative_strength": -27.085524, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.251895, "energy": 21.903918, "activity_lines": [ 27.963334, 28.392217, 28.432183, 28.380947 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }