{ "ticker": { "uuid": "015a0d19-cc13-469b-9e71-42921156fef8", "symbol": "300084", "name": "Haimo Technologies Group Corp.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -0.038, "architecture_energy": 13.0, "architecture_maturity": 13.793, "architecture_confidence": 53.657, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.2, "rotation_up": 19.48, "upward_expansion": 16.31, "deceleration": 60.64, "rotation_down": 51.61, "downward_expansion": 41.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.198, 11.435091, 11.693619, 11.592989 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.45, "trend_reference": 11.418, "distance_from_trend": 0.090384, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.776667, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.600943, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 16.465275, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.118598, "excess_performance": 0.111199, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090384, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069435, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.600943, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059666, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.164653, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114665, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.118598, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.055758, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73455982, "relative_activity": 0.990156, "balance": 1.055758, "dry_up": 0.993193, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109793, "annualized_volatility": 0.484041, "from_high_reference": -0.215995, "from_low_reference": 0.579949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.418, "fair_value_reference": 7.776667, "structural_low": 8.71, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.115672, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.047352, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.115672, "worst_return": 0.115672, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.057836, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.150148, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.057836, "worst_return": 0.057836, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.046642, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.088591, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.046642, "worst_return": -0.046642, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.061567, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.251281, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.061567, "worst_return": 0.061567, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-06-23", "end": "2023-07-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.086235, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-08-04", "end": "2024-01-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.053846, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-01-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-02-02", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.097015, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.048495, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.080442, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.089947, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.065041, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.142638, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.276471, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.277372, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.18845, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.215, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.166823, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 6.55, "volume": 18825250, "typical_volume": 32670769.8, "trend": 6.048, "fair_value": 5.121603, "relative_strength": 22.745362, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.861771, 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"direction": 28.315232, "energy": 15.074307, "activity_lines": [ 11.980667, 12.137273, 11.923762, 11.666946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.19, "volume": 68624659, "typical_volume": 118211348.05, "trend": 11.300333, "fair_value": 7.689038, "relative_strength": 9.478019, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.921088, "energy": 11.673369, "activity_lines": [ 11.666, 11.943091, 11.878238, 11.664043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.72, "volume": 91980214, "typical_volume": 95360215.9, "trend": 11.305, "fair_value": 7.710769, "relative_strength": -5.172742, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.671198, "energy": 31.306161, "activity_lines": [ 10.968, 11.498727, 11.69281, 11.562086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.67, "volume": 60664522, "typical_volume": 82690675.7, "trend": 11.336, "fair_value": 7.737885, "relative_strength": 5.477426, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.203006, "energy": 33.955739, "activity_lines": [ 10.725333, 11.284182, 11.608143, 11.521118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.45, "volume": 73455982, "typical_volume": 74186306.85, "trend": 11.418, "fair_value": 7.776667, "relative_strength": 16.465275, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.038363, "energy": 12.999799, "activity_lines": [ 11.198, 11.435091, 11.693619, 11.592989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }