{ "ticker": { "uuid": "015c2083-eb22-45bd-8401-e3537c09b89f", "symbol": "ASOL", "name": "21Shares Solana Staking ETP", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.151, "architecture_energy": 32.006, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 59.663, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.18, "rotation_up": 23.24, "upward_expansion": 9.57, "deceleration": 65.66, "rotation_down": 43.8, "downward_expansion": 68.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.905667, 39.881273, 40.700191, 41.849699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 39.689999, "trend_reference": 44.780667, "distance_from_trend": -0.11368, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 72.690866, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.453989, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.474289, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.068201, "excess_performance": -0.151084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.11368, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192593, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.453989, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105333, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.454743, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030487, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.068201, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.802098, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1091, "relative_activity": 0.78337, "balance": 1.802098, "dry_up": 0.637431, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07578, "annualized_volatility": 0.492916, "from_high_reference": -0.692849, "from_low_reference": 0.167353 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.780667, "fair_value_reference": 72.690866, 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-44.51469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.113847, "energy": 33.681708, "activity_lines": [ 40.768667, 40.243818, 41.750286, 43.768108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.639999, "volume": 2032, "typical_volume": 1594.4, "trend": 47.576334, "fair_value": 72.181648, "relative_strength": -47.861125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.838754, "energy": 25.122803, "activity_lines": [ 40.844, 39.968, 41.442453, 43.19785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.360001, "volume": 120, "typical_volume": 1464.5, "trend": 46.762, "fair_value": 72.352648, "relative_strength": -45.855428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.826552, "energy": 24.774384, "activity_lines": [ 40.910334, 39.935, 41.217357, 42.73228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.290001, "volume": 308, "typical_volume": 1394.3, "trend": 45.898, "fair_value": 72.523263, "relative_strength": -46.32909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.61161, "energy": 26.498312, "activity_lines": [ 40.366667, 39.816546, 40.918, 42.250215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.689999, "volume": 1091, "typical_volume": 1392.7, "trend": 44.780667, "fair_value": 72.690866, "relative_strength": -45.474289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.151482, "energy": 32.005845, "activity_lines": [ 39.905667, 39.881273, 40.700191, 41.849699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }