{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0174faf5-b3f8-4cf3-8ba2-1d5d77f52e78", "symbol": "SCIB", "name": "SciBase Holding AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -35.214, "architecture_energy": 44.135, "architecture_maturity": 21.733, "architecture_confidence": 79.461, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.07, "rotation_up": 16.37, "upward_expansion": 21.8, "deceleration": 54.49, "rotation_down": 66.61, "downward_expansion": 51.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.826666, 32.856363, 37.250952, 36.847527 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 27.9, "trend_reference": 34.73, "distance_from_trend": -0.19666, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.145031, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.30502, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.691957, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.05283, "excess_performance": -0.008664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19666, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099747, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.30502, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.301073, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21692, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.584143, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05283, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.373252, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26070, "relative_activity": 1.593083, "balance": 0.373252, "dry_up": 1.039812, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.232561, "annualized_volatility": 0.714956, "from_high_reference": -0.463462, "from_low_reference": 0.674 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.73, "fair_value_reference": 40.145031, "structural_low": 23.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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"relative_strength": 2.76893, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.412188, "energy": 31.768161, "activity_lines": [ 33.913332, 37.683635, 39.734285, 37.632903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.5, "volume": 5957, "typical_volume": 16056.75, "trend": 34.443333, "fair_value": 41.227083, "relative_strength": -3.890152, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.382073, "energy": 34.814323, "activity_lines": [ 33.759999, 36.332726, 39.225238, 37.57957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.799999, "volume": 23274, "typical_volume": 16289.85, "trend": 34.603333, "fair_value": 40.646741, "relative_strength": -15.31328, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.088435, "energy": 42.906859, "activity_lines": [ 32.526666, 34.567272, 38.330952, 37.28 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.9, "volume": 26070, "typical_volume": 16364.5, "trend": 34.73, "fair_value": 40.145031, "relative_strength": -21.691957, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.21419, "energy": 44.135202, "activity_lines": [ 30.826666, 32.856363, 37.250952, 36.847527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }