{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0199bc4e-b6ed-4c46-bd2e-eabe4b524bbe", "symbol": "300683", "name": "Wuhan Hiteck Biological Pharma Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.133, "architecture_energy": 23.262, "architecture_maturity": 58.437, "architecture_confidence": 76.513, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.1, "rotation_up": 26.12, "upward_expansion": 19.36, "deceleration": 46.67, "rotation_down": 30.44, "downward_expansion": 58.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.119333, 26.448727, 28.070952, 29.698495 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.43, "trend_reference": 31.1, "distance_from_trend": -0.053698, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.693136, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.008862, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.683476, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.029033, "excess_performance": -0.036433, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.053698, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045163, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.008862, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.201964, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.156835, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023754, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.029033, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.669222, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40530831, "relative_activity": 1.020905, "balance": 0.669222, "dry_up": 1.244487, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138111, "annualized_volatility": 0.64059, "from_high_reference": -0.523478, "from_low_reference": 0.272924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.1, "fair_value_reference": 29.693136, "structural_low": 23.120001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.049885, "positive_rate": 0.681818, "directional_follow_through": 0.318182, "median_excess_return": 0.052879, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.245333, "worst_return": -0.340006, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.091772, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.111111, "median_excess_return": 0.086657, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 1.091441, "worst_return": -0.35914, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.067271, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.023356, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.512613, "worst_return": -0.349132, "sufficient": true }, { 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29.886135, "relative_strength": -27.035035, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.319902, "energy": 32.647029, "activity_lines": [ 26.128667, 25.890727, 28.71119, 30.148495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.77, "volume": 34722535, "typical_volume": 39218813.05, "trend": 31.043333, "fair_value": 29.767995, "relative_strength": -24.198504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.664939, "energy": 32.980524, "activity_lines": [ 26.095333, 25.782909, 28.196095, 29.802581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.43, "volume": 40530831, "typical_volume": 39700899.6, "trend": 31.1, "fair_value": 29.693136, "relative_strength": -15.683476, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.132867, "energy": 23.261917, "activity_lines": [ 27.119333, 26.448727, 28.070952, 29.698495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }