{ "ticker": { "uuid": "01a620b3-8878-43f1-9401-45305100f2cf", "symbol": "1453", "name": "Ta Jiang Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.253, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.159, "architecture_energy": 31.702, "architecture_maturity": 45.854, "architecture_confidence": 88.455, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.27, "rotation_up": 22.58, "upward_expansion": 3.41, "deceleration": 55.42, "rotation_down": 49.44, "downward_expansion": 79.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.183333, 11.23, 11.346667, 11.567849 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.3, "trend_reference": 11.891667, "distance_from_trend": -0.049755, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.950174, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.244156, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.728315, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.120623, "excess_performance": -0.561995, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049755, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028855, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.244156, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011757, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.357283, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063188, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.120623, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.475397, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 347133, "relative_activity": 0.871648, "balance": 3.475397, "dry_up": 0.705311, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054459, "annualized_volatility": 0.167806, "from_high_reference": -0.256579, "from_low_reference": 0.041475 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.891667, "fair_value_reference": 14.950174, "structural_low": 10.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.020538, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.350746, "worst_return": -0.165746, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.028777, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.089646, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.227612, "worst_return": -0.189504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.011145, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.080712, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.119403, "worst_return": -0.212828, "sufficient": true 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14.995668, "relative_strength": -35.997501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.22831, "energy": 42.964704, "activity_lines": [ 11.27, 11.350909, 11.529286, 11.779892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.15, "volume": 293083, "typical_volume": 443867.35, "trend": 12.023333, "fair_value": 14.980321, "relative_strength": -36.294341, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.166445, "energy": 41.506082, "activity_lines": [ 11.196667, 11.312727, 11.472381, 11.720215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.15, "volume": 269211, "typical_volume": 430040.25, "trend": 11.968333, "fair_value": 14.972014, "relative_strength": -34.620656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.51598, "energy": 43.146816, "activity_lines": [ 11.166667, 11.276364, 11.421429, 11.663871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.1, "volume": 214130, "typical_volume": 391477.55, "trend": 11.92, "fair_value": 14.959866, "relative_strength": -35.53615, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.322209, "energy": 40.402926, "activity_lines": [ 11.126667, 11.234545, 11.371429, 11.607849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.3, "volume": 347133, "typical_volume": 398249.05, "trend": 11.891667, "fair_value": 14.950174, "relative_strength": -35.728315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.159293, "energy": 31.701934, "activity_lines": [ 11.183333, 11.23, 11.346667, 11.567849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }