{ "ticker": { "uuid": "01bc8575-0d3a-48da-ad63-e1074971e9be", "symbol": "XMR", "name": "XMReality AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 48.444, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.698, "architecture_energy": 10.058, "architecture_maturity": 43.194, "architecture_confidence": 66.865, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.37, "rotation_up": 21.03, "upward_expansion": 40.17, "deceleration": 78.79, "rotation_down": 29.69, "downward_expansion": 31.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.035, 0.035669, 0.038235, 0.035815 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.0362, "trend_reference": 0.030467, "distance_from_trend": 0.188184, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.120498, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.699581, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 47.327977, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.62, "excess_performance": 2.558506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.188184, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.419696, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.699581, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004156, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.47328, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.274175, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.62, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.733004, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22834489, "relative_activity": 0.405736, "balance": 1.733004, "dry_up": 0.354162, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.291968, "annualized_volatility": 1.508795, "from_high_reference": -0.517333, "from_low_reference": 3.641026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.030467, "fair_value_reference": 0.120498, "structural_low": 0.0078, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.060773, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.050801, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.060773, "worst_return": -0.060773, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.322034, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.09589, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.074627, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.620253, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.666667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 0.036, "volume": 18058222, "typical_volume": 78044309.35, "trend": 0.027093, "fair_value": 0.131944, "relative_strength": 60.745389, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.11194, "energy": 17.132039, "activity_lines": [ 0.03672, 0.039607, 0.039004, 0.034197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.034, "volume": 24132986, "typical_volume": 74703440.85, "trend": 0.027927, "fair_value": 0.128983, "relative_strength": 50.955188, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.889991, "energy": 11.26452, "activity_lines": [ 0.035653, 0.038044, 0.038858, 0.034642 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0328, "volume": 13198923, "typical_volume": 65509794.05, "trend": 0.02872, "fair_value": 0.126212, "relative_strength": 41.895866, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.510205, "energy": 10.537765, "activity_lines": [ 0.034587, 0.03652, 0.038501, 0.034957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0354, "volume": 19561521, "typical_volume": 60521600.35, "trend": 0.02958, "fair_value": 0.123337, "relative_strength": 49.030271, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.606973, "energy": 11.223431, "activity_lines": [ 0.034613, 0.035964, 0.038357, 0.035388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0362, "volume": 22834489, "typical_volume": 56279209.8, "trend": 0.030467, "fair_value": 0.120498, "relative_strength": 47.327977, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.697598, "energy": 10.057582, "activity_lines": [ 0.035, 0.035669, 0.038235, 0.035815 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }