{ "ticker": { "uuid": "01c360fc-b43d-4e06-9aad-9aa6da32e315", "symbol": "ATOS", "name": "Atossa Genetics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.045, "architecture_energy": 58.151, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 70.475, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.94, "rotation_up": 27.4, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.62, "rotation_down": 48.96, "downward_expansion": 72.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.287667, 2.286909, 3.143048, 3.694006 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.36, "trend_reference": 4.58105, "distance_from_trend": -0.484834, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.013115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.818645, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -74.418904, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.558052, "excess_performance": -0.745506, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.484834, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.389002, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.818645, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21778, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.744189, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191777, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.558052, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.393358, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 224891, "relative_activity": 0.387928, "balance": 0.393358, "dry_up": 0.576713, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.255766, "annualized_volatility": 1.128168, "from_high_reference": -0.878036, "from_low_reference": 0.388235 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.58105, "fair_value_reference": 13.013115, "structural_low": 1.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.050138, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.042268, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.266033, "worst_return": -0.562893, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.22213, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.145851, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.412577, "worst_return": -0.601695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.16012, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.264402, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.371429, "worst_return": -0.809784, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.006803, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046358, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.158621, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.124018, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.176535, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Established", 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.37, "volume": 992740, "typical_volume": 603559.0, "trend": 5.606733, "fair_value": 13.372314, "relative_strength": -76.988832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.376865, "energy": 88.444144, "activity_lines": [ 2.163333, 2.910909, 3.862143, 4.443173 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.49, "volume": 549387, "typical_volume": 608981.1, "trend": 5.324183, "fair_value": 13.279622, "relative_strength": -74.107864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.728061, "energy": 85.153034, "activity_lines": [ 2.270667, 2.71, 3.684357, 4.242094 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.295, "volume": 327941, "typical_volume": 603072.25, "trend": 5.071233, "fair_value": 13.187603, "relative_strength": -75.091331, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.522083, "energy": 65.577536, "activity_lines": [ 2.311, 2.530182, 3.497238, 4.046662 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.07, "volume": 235118, "typical_volume": 587287.15, "trend": 4.824933, "fair_value": 13.098949, "relative_strength": -77.020747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.124963, "energy": 65.734098, "activity_lines": [ 2.257333, 2.355909, 3.299333, 3.853034 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.36, "volume": 224891, "typical_volume": 579723.7, "trend": 4.58105, "fair_value": 13.013115, "relative_strength": -74.418904, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.044875, "energy": 58.150514, "activity_lines": [ 2.287667, 2.286909, 3.143048, 3.694006 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }