{ "ticker": { "uuid": "01fa1687-a487-40f0-a572-8678db2f070d", "symbol": "002531", "name": "Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou) Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.877, "architecture_energy": 87.022, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.202, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.33, "rotation_up": 9.02, "upward_expansion": 21.81, "deceleration": 37.06, "rotation_down": 79.52, "downward_expansion": 97.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.463333, 7.157818, 8.682286, 9.316344 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 6.67, "trend_reference": 9.590667, "distance_from_trend": -0.304532, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.035645, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.261813, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.726351, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.152478, "excess_performance": -0.159878, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.304532, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026106, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.261813, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.484642, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.247264, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.427495, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152478, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.529294, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 263180805, "relative_activity": 1.1819, "balance": 0.529294, "dry_up": 1.304538, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164918, "annualized_volatility": 0.583488, "from_high_reference": -0.502239, "from_low_reference": 0.15 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.590667, "fair_value_reference": 9.035645, "structural_low": 5.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.021228, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.033663, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.599151, "worst_return": -0.253365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.000268, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.056137, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.235607, "worst_return": -0.286643, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.025232, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.141948, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.167978, "worst_return": -0.297297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"mixed", "direction": -35.32993, "energy": 65.296026, "activity_lines": [ 8.838667, 9.708182, 10.538429, 10.304194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.56, "volume": 206971335, "typical_volume": 237253102.35, "trend": 9.656667, "fair_value": 9.239594, "relative_strength": -20.43706, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.629256, "energy": 71.205694, "activity_lines": [ 8.332, 9.188182, 10.228762, 10.169935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.14, "volume": 372553851, "typical_volume": 245488378.5, "trend": 9.633333, "fair_value": 9.182548, "relative_strength": -28.608163, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -63.393025, "energy": 82.929966, "activity_lines": [ 7.499333, 8.491091, 9.792905, 9.943054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.08, "volume": 279875109, "typical_volume": 244693931.7, "trend": 9.613667, "fair_value": 9.13037, "relative_strength": -29.287834, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -57.496633, "energy": 83.505726, "activity_lines": [ 6.876, 7.883818, 9.370286, 9.713806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.38, "volume": 246347419, "typical_volume": 238819657.8, "trend": 9.597, "fair_value": 9.080559, "relative_strength": -24.415761, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.202, "energy": 89.407286, "activity_lines": [ 6.552, 7.446727, 8.998095, 9.505183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.67, "volume": 263180805, "typical_volume": 222676056.7, "trend": 9.590667, "fair_value": 9.035645, "relative_strength": -24.726351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.876943, "energy": 87.021619, "activity_lines": [ 6.463333, 7.157818, 8.682286, 9.316344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }