{ "ticker": { "uuid": "01fe6471-bf3a-4699-ac1e-843dae633951", "symbol": "300457", "name": "Shenzhen Yinghe Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.715, "architecture_energy": 60.683, "architecture_maturity": 39.089, "architecture_confidence": 86.607, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 17.46, "upward_expansion": 10.51, "deceleration": 54.65, "rotation_down": 65.15, "downward_expansion": 83.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.555334, 20.109455, 22.644286, 23.869893 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.120001, "trend_reference": 25.478, "distance_from_trend": -0.210299, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.328183, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.056647, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.519004, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.268364, "excess_performance": -0.275763, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.210299, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081742, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.056647, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.415617, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.27519, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179793, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.268364, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.791437, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53586938, "relative_activity": 0.800379, "balance": 0.791437, "dry_up": 0.892836, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111294, "annualized_volatility": 0.447313, "from_high_reference": -0.490504, "from_low_reference": 0.174548 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.478, "fair_value_reference": 21.328183, "structural_low": 17.129999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.002914, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": 0.029728, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.437712, "worst_return": -0.348083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.03456, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.00489, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.787942, "worst_return": -0.104706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.042773, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.089264, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.877705, "worst_return": -0.141277, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 86.47574, "activity_lines": [ 22.009333, 23.994, 25.483333, 26.102581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 19.700001, "volume": 51221046, "typical_volume": 66067792.55, "trend": 26.495667, "fair_value": 21.363706, "relative_strength": -33.816517, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.631819, "energy": 91.373663, "activity_lines": [ 21.023333, 22.935273, 24.875619, 25.648022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.77, "volume": 51048036, "typical_volume": 66317089.6, "trend": 26.197334, "fair_value": 21.367224, "relative_strength": -34.058395, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.911353, "energy": 94.538317, "activity_lines": [ 19.736, 21.694546, 24.124286, 25.085075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.190001, "volume": 58309239, "typical_volume": 66239080.75, "trend": 25.942334, "fair_value": 21.376248, "relative_strength": -32.447002, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.255299, "energy": 89.923799, "activity_lines": [ 18.948, 20.725273, 23.461048, 24.568473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.73, "volume": 76164236, "typical_volume": 66728608.9, "trend": 25.735667, "fair_value": 21.36961, "relative_strength": -21.641155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.143005, "energy": 78.615389, "activity_lines": [ 19.359334, 20.393091, 23.071476, 24.232194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.120001, "volume": 53586938, "typical_volume": 66951947.9, "trend": 25.478, "fair_value": 21.328183, "relative_strength": -27.519004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.71477, "energy": 60.682606, "activity_lines": [ 19.555334, 20.109455, 22.644286, 23.869893 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }