{ "ticker": { "uuid": "01fede8a-2842-4a7c-9993-0d4935c00dd7", "symbol": "WCBR", "name": "WisdomTree Cybersecurity UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.397, "architecture_energy": 71.668, "architecture_maturity": 55.753, "architecture_confidence": 88.398, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 67.29, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 66.7, "rotation_down": 21.37, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.536333, 36.475454, 33.817024, 31.660312 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.244999, "trend_reference": 29.299833, "distance_from_trend": 0.339427, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.032167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.451789, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.928605, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.605769, "excess_performance": 0.522886, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.339427, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082206, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.451789, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.369978, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.199286, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261317, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.605769, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 13.13769, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4565, "relative_activity": 0.464884, "balance": 13.13769, "dry_up": 0.573926, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054715, "annualized_volatility": 0.405909, "from_high_reference": -0.019855, "from_low_reference": 0.74461 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.299833, "fair_value_reference": 27.032167, "structural_low": 22.495001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.002124, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": 0.0001, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.205088, "worst_return": -0.123679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.064267, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.055368, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.17049, "worst_return": -0.087492, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.068295, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.12092, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.248873, "worst_return": -0.095842, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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31.362909, 28.997048, 28.089839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 36.639999, "volume": 7843, "typical_volume": 14750.3, "trend": 27.722834, "fair_value": 26.456705, "relative_strength": 13.177611, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.825347, "energy": 73.202629, "activity_lines": [ 33.577, 32.557, 29.868691, 28.681538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 38.369999, "volume": 8783, "typical_volume": 12156.2, "trend": 28.046334, "fair_value": 26.577372, "relative_strength": 19.965687, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.894475, "energy": 93.11198, "activity_lines": [ 35.329666, 33.850727, 30.854262, 29.368452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.689999, "volume": 11320, "typical_volume": 9699.4, "trend": 28.4005, "fair_value": 26.699141, "relative_strength": 19.908302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.003375, "energy": 94.769818, "activity_lines": [ 36.858666, 34.969, 31.810905, 30.05514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.27, "volume": 5447, "typical_volume": 9830.45, "trend": 28.6375, "fair_value": 26.797154, "relative_strength": 9.545974, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.928096, "energy": 86.051216, "activity_lines": [ 36.791, 35.268818, 32.370143, 30.498333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.314999, "volume": 1211, "typical_volume": 9883.6, "trend": 28.911834, "fair_value": 26.903712, "relative_strength": 12.758444, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.52202, "energy": 81.060901, "activity_lines": [ 36.806999, 35.649, 32.978952, 30.993656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.244999, "volume": 4565, "typical_volume": 9819.65, "trend": 29.299833, "fair_value": 27.032167, "relative_strength": 19.928605, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.396884, "energy": 71.66797, "activity_lines": [ 37.536333, 36.475454, 33.817024, 31.660312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }