{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0208f5ce-4cd1-4d7a-b12f-7f8e3a7ddabd",
    "symbol": "BWA",
    "name": "BorgWarner Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.804,
    "architecture_energy": 19.144,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.813,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.869,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.43,
        "rotation_up": 26.48,
        "upward_expansion": 53.7,
        "deceleration": 90.68,
        "rotation_down": 26.72,
        "downward_expansion": 17.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.34,
        65.949273,
        65.611967,
        63.180439
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 68.42,
    "trend_reference": 59.721527,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.145651,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.488073,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.732675,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.105602,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.317097,
    "excess_performance": 0.191472,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145651,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146734,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.732675,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092856,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161056,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066739,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.317097,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.093223,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14183080,
      "relative_activity": 1.083411,
      "balance": 2.093223,
      "dry_up": 0.881538,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09338,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.414076,
      "from_high_reference": -0.131946,
      "from_low_reference": 0.810215
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.721527,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.488073,
      "structural_low": 50.090167,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.002328,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029779,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.158856,
        "worst_return": -0.09617,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.089507,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024854,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.258719,
        "worst_return": -0.110397,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.066909,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00357,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.330737,
        "worst_return": -0.21693,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.139631,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.207149,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.066625,
        "worst_return": -0.212636,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.108738,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041369,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.054395,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.114496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.246971,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.149629,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.02618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.157319,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.095772,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 39.154004,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 13179224.15,
        "trend": 59.021269,
        "fair_value": 39.300617,
        "relative_strength": 12.762478,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.221953,
        "energy": 20.129918,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.42,
        "volume": 14183080,
        "typical_volume": 13091135.0,
        "trend": 59.721527,
        "fair_value": 39.488073,
        "relative_strength": 16.105602,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.803832,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}