{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02117425-a87f-4eb0-a001-aa10908e4bc0", "symbol": "KRUS", "name": "Kura Sushi USA Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.97, "architecture_energy": 58.002, "architecture_maturity": 29.081, "architecture_confidence": 89.037, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.85, "rotation_up": 12.86, "upward_expansion": 11.88, "deceleration": 39.39, "rotation_down": 64.2, "downward_expansion": 85.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.065333, 49.272455, 51.30769, 53.965817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 48.83, "trend_reference": 58.374833, "distance_from_trend": -0.163509, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 73.236667, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.333257, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.501587, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.384159, "excess_performance": -0.571613, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.163509, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017452, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.333257, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082809, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.295016, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002351, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.384159, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.930026, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 754833, "relative_activity": 0.432051, "balance": 0.930026, "dry_up": 0.686076, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.156177, "annualized_volatility": 0.740338, "from_high_reference": -0.445051, "from_low_reference": 0.145706 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.374833, "fair_value_reference": 73.236667, "structural_low": 43.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.160352, "positive_rate": 0.882353, "directional_follow_through": 0.117647, "median_excess_return": 0.169119, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.766186, "worst_return": -0.058948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.635098, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.592809, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.51987, "worst_return": 0.391675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.677732, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.586026, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.509278, "worst_return": 0.109255, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -34.668906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.706944, "energy": 51.679045, "activity_lines": [ 49.128, 50.555727, 52.661643, 55.480548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.07, "volume": 1059032, "typical_volume": 1766716.85, "trend": 59.053167, "fair_value": 73.523974, "relative_strength": -31.040665, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.690693, "energy": 61.127604, "activity_lines": [ 47.201667, 49.588545, 51.82581, 54.625376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.83, "volume": 754833, "typical_volume": 1747091.7, "trend": 58.374833, "fair_value": 73.236667, "relative_strength": -29.501587, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.970187, "energy": 58.001701, "activity_lines": [ 47.065333, 49.272455, 51.30769, 53.965817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }