{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0216921d-38db-4580-84ff-1792ece852c7",
    "symbol": "2741",
    "name": "Renjie Oldsichuan Catering Management Consultant Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.4,
    "architecture_energy": 40.178,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.049,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.52,
        "rotation_up": 27.68,
        "upward_expansion": 17.89,
        "deceleration": 46.49,
        "rotation_down": 38.08,
        "downward_expansion": 65.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.646667,
        20.586364,
        20.974048,
        22.170968
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 21.0,
    "trend_reference": 24.226667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.133187,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 40.422954,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.480493,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -53.400671,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.222222,
    "excess_performance": -0.663594,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133187,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183875,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.480493,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022958,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.534007,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066937,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222222,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.66122,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 152264,
      "relative_activity": 1.10645,
      "balance": 0.66122,
      "dry_up": 0.954108,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.055678,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.275205,
      "from_high_reference": -0.501188,
      "from_low_reference": 0.085271
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.226667,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.422954,
      "structural_low": 19.35,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.011949,
        "positive_rate": 0.208333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.791667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048144,
        "regime_survival": 0.958333,
        "best_return": 0.073171,
        "worst_return": -0.231788,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.081356,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.159432,
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        "best_return": 0.014423,
        "worst_return": -0.289125,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.136687,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.295915,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.440318,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": -0.058894,
        "worst_return": -0.256676,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-02-17",
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        "return": 0.214671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -56.384922,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 62692,
        "typical_volume": 135377.65,
        "trend": 25.856667,
        "fair_value": 41.040742,
        "relative_strength": -55.562816,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.658195,
        "energy": 60.179311,
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          20.42,
          20.582727,
          21.490952,
          23.070108
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.6,
        "volume": 114868,
        "typical_volume": 133555.95,
        "trend": 25.353333,
        "fair_value": 40.826121,
        "relative_strength": -53.77247,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.529008,
        "energy": 56.349828,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.46,
          20.558182,
          21.279524,
          22.730968
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.450001,
        "volume": 195374,
        "typical_volume": 135385.3,
        "trend": 24.776667,
        "fair_value": 40.617677,
        "relative_strength": -54.132775,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.629071,
        "energy": 54.233426,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.45,
          20.516364,
          21.083333,
          22.414624
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 21.0,
        "volume": 152264,
        "typical_volume": 137614.95,
        "trend": 24.226667,
        "fair_value": 40.422954,
        "relative_strength": -53.400671,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.400329,
        "energy": 40.178344,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.646667,
          20.586364,
          20.974048,
          22.170968
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}