{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02249e78-dbbf-4e65-bf14-3167fe9afc79", "symbol": "2887", "name": "TS Financial Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.881, "architecture_energy": 70.908, "architecture_maturity": 68.08, "architecture_confidence": 83.18, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.94, "rotation_up": 74.43, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 62.76, "rotation_down": 18.98, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.97911, 34.866325, 31.364665, 29.206599 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 37.75, "trend_reference": 26.657015, "distance_from_trend": 0.416138, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.997992, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.097456, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.297701, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.681176, "excess_performance": 0.239804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.416138, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.226643, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.097456, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.719956, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.222977, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.390142, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.681176, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.606793, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 274063168, "relative_activity": 0.634664, "balance": 1.606793, "dry_up": 0.711699, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073696, "annualized_volatility": 0.369121, "from_high_reference": -0.001323, "from_low_reference": 1.515938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.657015, "fair_value_reference": 17.997992, "structural_low": 21.973691, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.021084, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.002932, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.220199, "worst_return": -0.121718, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.112029, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.021986, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.402464, "worst_return": -0.193799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.101459, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.014905, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.386167, "worst_return": -0.240876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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17.595382, "relative_strength": 17.927162, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.128389, "energy": 75.463981, "activity_lines": [ 34.010947, 32.16576, 28.783947, 27.127734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.950001, "volume": 355657957, "typical_volume": 443769083.15, "trend": 25.549283, "fair_value": 17.728476, "relative_strength": 24.975427, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.720861, "energy": 71.6176, "activity_lines": [ 34.841589, 33.240621, 29.669176, 27.833458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.150002, "volume": 218658059, "typical_volume": 436089462.5, "trend": 26.067028, "fair_value": 17.85463, "relative_strength": 18.618215, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.432268, "energy": 66.554877, "activity_lines": [ 35.054006, 33.932523, 30.420362, 28.452859 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 37.75, "volume": 274063168, "typical_volume": 431824177.0, "trend": 26.657015, "fair_value": 17.997992, "relative_strength": 22.297701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.881396, "energy": 70.907674, "activity_lines": [ 35.97911, 34.866325, 31.364665, 29.206599 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }