{ "ticker": { "uuid": "022b4564-dae4-47df-a35b-59a7c8a67220", "symbol": "NFC", "name": "Netflix, Inc.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.554, "architecture_energy": 75.537, "architecture_maturity": 27.773, "architecture_confidence": 91.416, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.83, "rotation_up": 18.14, "upward_expansion": 17.32, "deceleration": 40.64, "rotation_down": 68.3, "downward_expansion": 92.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.538665, 63.83909, 68.09819, 70.866129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 64.089996, "trend_reference": 73.009, "distance_from_trend": -0.122163, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 73.036859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.122498, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.146451, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.069406, "excess_performance": -0.134046, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122163, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085192, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.122498, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176486, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281465, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081643, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.069406, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.295519, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 146493, "relative_activity": 1.404548, "balance": 1.295519, "dry_up": 1.972839, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061776, "annualized_volatility": 0.376037, "from_high_reference": -0.407671, "from_low_reference": 0.123204 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.009, "fair_value_reference": 73.036859, "structural_low": 57.060001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.030673, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.017573, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.292982, "worst_return": -0.478882, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.095657, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.112342, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.378599, "worst_return": -0.501487, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.262963, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.226457, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.213175, "worst_return": -0.31275, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"direction": -87.556861, "energy": 92.391345, "activity_lines": [ 63.894001, 66.615818, 71.385, 73.064237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.540001, "volume": 213595, "typical_volume": 96522.05, "trend": 73.939334, "fair_value": 72.725994, "relative_strength": -29.134016, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.721297, "energy": 87.671964, "activity_lines": [ 62.728001, 65.247636, 70.081191, 72.226194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.19, "volume": 175238, "typical_volume": 101464.25, "trend": 73.421667, "fair_value": 72.873333, "relative_strength": -29.12663, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.572602, "energy": 83.735804, "activity_lines": [ 62.201334, 64.240909, 68.950143, 71.468172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.089996, "volume": 146493, "typical_volume": 104299.05, "trend": 73.009, "fair_value": 73.036859, "relative_strength": -28.146451, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.554168, "energy": 75.537172, "activity_lines": [ 62.538665, 63.83909, 68.09819, 70.866129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }