{ "ticker": { "uuid": "022f4eb8-7050-48b6-bcd2-f5b4ae5079c9", "symbol": "ZALT", "name": "Innovator U.S. Equity 10 Buffer ETF - Quarterly", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.265, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.344, "architecture_energy": 73.845, "architecture_maturity": 59.984, "architecture_confidence": 71.246, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 66.01, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 67.56, "rotation_down": 24.08, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.124, 34.016364, 33.840194, 33.601705 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 34.43, "trend_reference": 33.310673, "distance_from_trend": 0.033603, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.067252, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.1451, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.428066, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.049055, "excess_performance": -0.076569, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033603, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015462, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.1451, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015938, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064281, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005391, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.049055, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.483906, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 631898, "relative_activity": 0.654636, "balance": 2.483906, "dry_up": 1.146126, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005748, "annualized_volatility": 0.034486, "from_high_reference": -0.00029, "from_low_reference": 0.100102 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.310673, "fair_value_reference": 30.067252, "structural_low": 32.3271, "invalidation": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.308277, "energy": 64.116198, "activity_lines": [ 33.908, 33.869455, 33.691958, 33.4702 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.07, "volume": 718179, "typical_volume": 953888.75, "trend": 33.25534, "fair_value": 30.037774, "relative_strength": -4.357013, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.542807, "energy": 68.560925, "activity_lines": [ 33.963333, 33.913818, 33.752624, 33.52592 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.43, "volume": 631898, "typical_volume": 965265.6, "trend": 33.310673, "fair_value": 30.067252, "relative_strength": -6.428066, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.34352, "energy": 73.844721, "activity_lines": [ 34.124, 34.016364, 33.840194, 33.601705 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }