{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02305728-7bbf-4215-b0e4-5dd8ab8e12a8", "symbol": "600744", "name": "DaTang HuaYin Electric Power CO.,LTD", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 84.526, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -21.001, "architecture_energy": 15.483, "architecture_maturity": 57.468, "architecture_confidence": 58.66, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.19, "rotation_up": 34.11, "upward_expansion": 17.72, "deceleration": 40.98, "rotation_down": 27.36, "downward_expansion": 63.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.146667, 6.864727, 7.239429, 7.391957 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.88, "trend_reference": 7.394, "distance_from_trend": 0.065729, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.74609, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.660314, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 12.445892, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.212308, "excess_performance": 0.255512, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065729, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030235, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.660314, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.305545, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.124459, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080609, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.212308, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.913696, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 857315086, "relative_activity": 1.270128, "balance": 0.913696, "dry_up": 1.546912, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142718, "annualized_volatility": 0.759904, "from_high_reference": -0.193449, "from_low_reference": 0.509579 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.394, "fair_value_reference": 4.74609, "structural_low": 5.22, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.038924, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.091339, "worst_return": -0.087379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.321656, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.271076, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.432432, "worst_return": -0.203583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.111111, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.062747, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.526144, "worst_return": -0.312704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"fair_value": 4.673718, "relative_strength": -11.388373, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.251388, "energy": 66.25983, "activity_lines": [ 6.060667, 6.671273, 7.275571, 7.361806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.53, "volume": 1678871932, "typical_volume": 691058298.1, "trend": 7.298667, "fair_value": 4.698397, "relative_strength": 10.836837, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.392842, "energy": 37.880272, "activity_lines": [ 6.483333, 6.738, 7.264286, 7.380086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.93, "volume": 1366687942, "typical_volume": 679469372.05, "trend": 7.327333, "fair_value": 4.718718, "relative_strength": 1.76026, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.798215, "energy": 23.551014, "activity_lines": [ 6.676, 6.708, 7.203238, 7.356301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.88, "volume": 857315086, "typical_volume": 674983039.55, "trend": 7.394, "fair_value": 4.74609, "relative_strength": 12.445892, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.001333, "energy": 15.483062, "activity_lines": [ 7.146667, 6.864727, 7.239429, 7.391957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }