{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0234896c-1b4e-4fcc-aee4-b3596e9b099a", "symbol": "DHOUSE", "name": "Dhouse Pattana Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.677, "architecture_energy": 70.565, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.344, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.66, "rotation_up": 11.81, "upward_expansion": 14.3, "deceleration": 38.72, "rotation_down": 76.48, "downward_expansion": 92.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.319333, 0.333091, 0.351905, 0.362839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.3, "trend_reference": 0.376, "distance_from_trend": -0.202128, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.570321, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.47398, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.195021, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.230769, "excess_performance": -0.423094, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.202128, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048904, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.47398, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093092, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.34195, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079935, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.230769, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.078321, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 251100, "relative_activity": 2.536107, "balance": 0.078321, "dry_up": 3.587011, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117949, "annualized_volatility": 0.309511, "from_high_reference": -0.375, "from_low_reference": 0.034483 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.376, "fair_value_reference": 0.570321, "structural_low": 0.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.023533, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.014767, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.15942, "worst_return": -0.214953, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.043927, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.112771, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.308411, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.098684, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.191469, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.384615, "worst_return": -0.314815, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"color": "amber", "start": "2023-06-23", "end": "2023-08-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.034483, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-08-11", "end": "2023-09-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.073171, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-05-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.078947, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.185714, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.034483, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.348667, 0.355091, 0.368429, 0.375591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.34, "volume": 34500, "typical_volume": 52725.0, "trend": 0.383, "fair_value": 0.577051, "relative_strength": -28.416748, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.655545, "energy": 51.332643, "activity_lines": [ 0.344, 0.350909, 0.364857, 0.372667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.31, "volume": 1065200, "typical_volume": 93265.0, "trend": 0.379333, "fair_value": 0.573654, "relative_strength": -33.238878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.223726, "energy": 60.321674, "activity_lines": [ 0.331333, 0.342182, 0.358619, 0.367957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3, "volume": 251100, "typical_volume": 99010.0, "trend": 0.376, "fair_value": 0.570321, "relative_strength": -34.195021, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.676912, "energy": 70.565337, "activity_lines": [ 0.319333, 0.333091, 0.351905, 0.362839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }