{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0244bd92-bb5e-4c66-882b-aa9f5d0b0931", "symbol": "MYDS", "name": "Mydas Real Estate Investments Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.472, "architecture_energy": 32.744, "architecture_maturity": 48.126, "architecture_confidence": 91.366, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.81, "rotation_up": 20.73, "upward_expansion": 3.28, "deceleration": 53.48, "rotation_down": 49.58, "downward_expansion": 76.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.3782, 0.379443, 0.394249, 0.407495 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.375, "trend_reference": 0.42358, "distance_from_trend": -0.114688, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.465272, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.194019, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.048864, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.207188, "excess_performance": -0.236088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.114688, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066937, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.194019, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095647, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.240489, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013091, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.207188, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.044088, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 127976, "relative_activity": 0.320948, "balance": 1.044088, "dry_up": 1.314012, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129827, "annualized_volatility": 0.445106, "from_high_reference": -0.403816, "from_low_reference": 0.171875 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.42358, "fair_value_reference": 0.465272, "structural_low": 0.32, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.484848, "directional_follow_through": 0.484848, "median_excess_return": -0.024263, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.357988, "worst_return": -0.188755, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.053375, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.053452, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.278351, "worst_return": -0.185185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.121184, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.122131, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.327327, "worst_return": -0.316222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.062753, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.106667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.237425, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.032178, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.159041, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.149422, "energy": 32.068089, "activity_lines": [ 0.3876, 0.388828, 0.405826, 0.417934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.37, "volume": 359190, "typical_volume": 411686.95, "trend": 0.428846, "fair_value": 0.468208, "relative_strength": -27.810203, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.116423, "energy": 25.953691, "activity_lines": [ 0.383667, 0.383421, 0.401119, 0.414023 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.379, "volume": 113143, "typical_volume": 404465.9, "trend": 0.426346, "fair_value": 0.466868, "relative_strength": -23.533885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.04302, "energy": 24.689545, "activity_lines": [ 0.3822, 0.381378, 0.397717, 0.410808 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.375, "volume": 127976, "typical_volume": 398743.4, "trend": 0.42358, "fair_value": 0.465272, "relative_strength": -24.048864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.472385, "energy": 32.744241, "activity_lines": [ 0.3782, 0.379443, 0.394249, 0.407495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }