{ "ticker": { "uuid": "02507301-f952-4d3f-88c3-573f1bdad915", "symbol": "300867", "name": "Shengyuan Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.661, "architecture_energy": 71.387, "architecture_maturity": 20.477, "architecture_confidence": 81.946, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.71, "rotation_up": 10.79, "upward_expansion": 15.95, "deceleration": 38.35, "rotation_down": 73.67, "downward_expansion": 91.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.18, 16.967454, 18.461021, 19.021781 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 16.459999, "trend_reference": 19.501555, "distance_from_trend": -0.155965, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.859334, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.037875, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.505168, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.144857, "excess_performance": -0.152257, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.155965, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049967, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.037875, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.360247, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.185052, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098073, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.144857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.456049, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18365045, "relative_activity": 0.580565, "balance": 1.456049, "dry_up": 0.673559, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118375, "annualized_volatility": 0.527643, "from_high_reference": -0.351004, "from_low_reference": 0.112914 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.501555, "fair_value_reference": 15.859334, "structural_low": 14.79, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.027038, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.010248, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.181227, "worst_return": -0.160279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.033935, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.064941, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.22026, "worst_return": -0.232868, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.095812, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.03059, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.130111, "worst_return": -0.313789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.41, "volume": 21663977, "typical_volume": 36343165.9, "trend": 19.863562, "fair_value": 15.881802, "relative_strength": -16.712693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.401355, "energy": 76.401243, "activity_lines": [ 17.392, 18.510474, 19.560826, 19.744761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.22, "volume": 27413938, "typical_volume": 36610263.1, "trend": 19.697091, "fair_value": 15.870264, "relative_strength": -22.566491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.8806, "energy": 81.178807, "activity_lines": [ 16.504667, 17.737726, 19.104075, 19.445176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.26, "volume": 17783968, "typical_volume": 36431424.4, "trend": 19.585534, "fair_value": 15.864316, "relative_strength": -15.639853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.536628, "energy": 76.089833, "activity_lines": [ 16.261333, 17.278727, 18.76617, 19.223428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.459999, "volume": 18365045, "typical_volume": 31633072.5, "trend": 19.501555, "fair_value": 15.859334, "relative_strength": -18.505168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.661026, "energy": 71.387363, "activity_lines": [ 16.18, 16.967454, 18.461021, 19.021781 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }