{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0251014c-04cd-4112-8507-80491f828fc8",
    "symbol": "EIN",
    "name": "Einhell Germany AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 94.713,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -16.23,
    "architecture_energy": 12.935,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.74,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.035,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.83,
        "rotation_up": 31.56,
        "upward_expansion": 20.03,
        "deceleration": 43.47,
        "rotation_down": 22.54,
        "downward_expansion": 56.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        71.213332,
        70.224619,
        70.770193,
        71.995972
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 74.199997,
    "trend_reference": 74.801622,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.008043,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 64.334509,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.153347,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.178052,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.128085,
    "excess_performance": -0.192724,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008043,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050138,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153347,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071815,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111781,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080422,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128085,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.454813,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14059,
      "relative_activity": 0.874572,
      "balance": 1.454813,
      "dry_up": 0.961973,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048212,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.301646,
      "from_high_reference": -0.166292,
      "from_low_reference": 0.136294
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 74.801622,
      "fair_value_reference": 64.334509,
      "structural_low": 65.300003,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.00838,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012209,
        "regime_survival": 0.866667,
        "best_return": 0.20339,
        "worst_return": -0.143583,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.024199,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.116701,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.074022,
        "worst_return": -0.19952,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.087777,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.150322,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.043296,
        "worst_return": -0.21885,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.079647,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069762,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.306509,
        "worst_return": -0.147216,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.184028,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
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        "return": -0.037651,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.040945,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.303448,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018543,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
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        "return": 0.042497,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.003807,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "trend": 78.75,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -13.583695,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "energy": 47.495933,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 69.558319,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 18367.45,
        "trend": 76.821621,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 76.578288,
        "fair_value": 63.781493,
        "relative_strength": -12.821055,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 71.0,
        "volume": 6565,
        "typical_volume": 18091.9,
        "trend": 76.194955,
        "fair_value": 63.924523,
        "relative_strength": -10.442032,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.432682,
        "energy": 39.755262,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.575857,
          69.729092,
          70.908508,
          72.945319
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 67.5,
        "volume": 22488,
        "typical_volume": 17015.25,
        "trend": 75.691622,
        "fair_value": 64.041817,
        "relative_strength": -15.535592,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.929931,
        "energy": 41.109067,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.034956,
          69.226389,
          70.500181,
          72.384354
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 70.7,
        "volume": 18744,
        "typical_volume": 16852.4,
        "trend": 75.228288,
        "fair_value": 64.177564,
        "relative_strength": -13.210005,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.314756,
        "energy": 25.939212,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.646667,
          69.394595,
          70.45614,
          72.062314
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 74.199997,
        "volume": 14059,
        "typical_volume": 16075.3,
        "trend": 74.801622,
        "fair_value": 64.334509,
        "relative_strength": -11.178052,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.229739,
        "energy": 12.935211,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.213332,
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          70.770193,
          71.995972
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}