{ "ticker": { "uuid": "025cc75b-e515-4241-9b5d-ee135a7bd429", "symbol": "3207", "name": "Yao Sheng Electronic Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.79, "architecture_energy": 88.475, "architecture_maturity": 50.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.792, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.03, "rotation_up": 8.11, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 83.9, "downward_expansion": 99.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.860001, 49.426364, 55.745, 59.095592 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 42.700001, "trend_reference": 63.478334, "distance_from_trend": -0.32733, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 89.809886, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.524551, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.434585, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.341049, "excess_performance": -0.782421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.32733, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065808, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.524551, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210633, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.544346, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157899, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.341049, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.129115, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1225308, "relative_activity": 0.37805, "balance": 1.129115, "dry_up": 0.485749, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.161232, "annualized_volatility": 0.676091, "from_high_reference": -0.522371, "from_low_reference": 0.137151 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.478334, "fair_value_reference": 89.809886, "structural_low": 37.549999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.047896, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.082854, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.356725, "worst_return": -0.38829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.032005, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.136967, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.198864, "worst_return": -0.416309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.063235, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.284122, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.088068, "worst_return": -0.390135, "sufficient": false }, 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61.656191, 63.795914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.700001, "volume": 2576010, "typical_volume": 3362803.45, "trend": 65.548334, "fair_value": 90.312515, "relative_strength": -56.401632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.923157, "energy": 91.70256, "activity_lines": [ 48.546667, 55.513637, 59.403572, 62.065269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.400002, "volume": 891101, "typical_volume": 3285883.25, "trend": 64.581667, "fair_value": 90.043261, "relative_strength": -55.00635, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.925711, "energy": 91.952274, "activity_lines": [ 44.703334, 52.136364, 57.445715, 60.507312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 42.700001, "volume": 1225308, "typical_volume": 3241123.8, "trend": 63.478334, "fair_value": 89.809886, "relative_strength": -54.434585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.789909, "energy": 88.475449, "activity_lines": [ 42.860001, 49.426364, 55.745, 59.095592 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }