{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0277f7c5-f0d7-4a29-bf6a-69172b21c7fe", "symbol": "600601", "name": "Founder Technology Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.504, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.568, "architecture_energy": 21.834, "architecture_maturity": 30.722, "architecture_confidence": 51.664, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.25, "rotation_up": 19.92, "upward_expansion": 19.41, "deceleration": 65.92, "rotation_down": 57.0, "downward_expansion": 39.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.050667, 11.895636, 12.169667, 11.910817 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.87, "trend_reference": 11.736, "distance_from_trend": 0.096626, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.172244, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.085141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.41262, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.139947, "excess_performance": 0.183151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.096626, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015196, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.085141, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167352, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.154126, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048855, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139947, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.607865, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1423573733, "relative_activity": 1.581383, "balance": 1.607865, "dry_up": 1.306474, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172733, "annualized_volatility": 0.737158, "from_high_reference": -0.188525, "from_low_reference": 1.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.736, "fair_value_reference": 6.172244, "structural_low": 8.68, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.022989, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.014145, "regime_survival": 0.307692, "best_return": 0.196581, "worst_return": -0.121094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.078431, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.056647, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.288056, "worst_return": -0.127946, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.065953, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.013461, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.419204, "worst_return": -0.144781, "sufficient": false }, { 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.18, "volume": 1593211865, "typical_volume": 761342981.8, "trend": 11.918333, "fair_value": 5.984679, "relative_strength": 20.436419, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.736163, "energy": 43.724657, "activity_lines": [ 13.804667, 13.478727, 12.609333, 12.204258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.51, "volume": 1317636439, "typical_volume": 794035594.15, "trend": 11.853667, "fair_value": 6.033846, "relative_strength": 1.088087, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.853522, "energy": 11.298333, "activity_lines": [ 12.735333, 12.992364, 12.477333, 12.113398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.15, "volume": 1051621169, "typical_volume": 822283665.05, "trend": 11.798667, "fair_value": 6.077949, "relative_strength": -4.390933, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.04321, "energy": 15.640972, "activity_lines": [ 11.704667, 12.469818, 12.315048, 12.003484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.19, "volume": 911562315, "typical_volume": 848868522.1, "trend": 11.697667, "fair_value": 6.112949, "relative_strength": -14.355194, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.038039, "energy": 36.388179, "activity_lines": [ 10.637333, 11.815455, 12.063952, 11.835183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.87, "volume": 1423573733, "typical_volume": 900207978.0, "trend": 11.736, "fair_value": 6.172244, "relative_strength": 15.41262, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.56849, "energy": 21.834469, "activity_lines": [ 11.050667, 11.895636, 12.169667, 11.910817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }