{ "ticker": { "uuid": "028894a2-fea3-4629-861d-03e119aeecfd", "symbol": "TMO", "name": "Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 77.759, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 47.214, "architecture_energy": 79.824, "architecture_maturity": 16.007, "architecture_confidence": 63.967, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.2, "rotation_up": 79.99, "upward_expansion": 71.93, "deceleration": 18.02, "rotation_down": 16.1, "downward_expansion": 27.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 9791.306771, 9442.867329, 8956.869303, 8864.177379 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 9880.0, "trend_reference": 8981.055449, "distance_from_trend": 0.100093, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9640.127898, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.024883, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.52811, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.049223, "excess_performance": 0.10389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100093, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052209, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.024883, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204287, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025281, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.246576, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.049223, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.144493, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2001, "relative_activity": 2.578608, "balance": 1.144493, "dry_up": 0.871134, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042215, "annualized_volatility": 0.378197, "from_high_reference": -0.124066, "from_low_reference": 0.300241 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8981.055449, "fair_value_reference": 9640.127898, "structural_low": 7598.590332, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.044761, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.024918, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.145643, "worst_return": -0.083708, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.037147, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.00334, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.163223, "worst_return": -0.292152, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.065364, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.234639, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.209667, "worst_return": -0.23659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.235735, "energy": 80.921836, "activity_lines": [ 9671.076823, 9281.719156, 8839.640603, 8809.190399 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9880.0, "volume": 2001, "typical_volume": 776.0, "trend": 8981.055449, "fair_value": 9640.127898, "relative_strength": 2.52811, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.213538, "energy": 79.824434, "activity_lines": [ 9791.306771, 9442.867329, 8956.869303, 8864.177379 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }