{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "028cb3d6-f108-4193-a9e4-4609d5c429e9",
    "symbol": "FTC",
    "name": "First Trust Large Capital Growth AlphaDEX Fund",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.635,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.662,
    "architecture_energy": 23.166,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.521,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.831,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.27,
        "rotation_up": 24.45,
        "upward_expansion": 54.48,
        "deceleration": 91.0,
        "rotation_down": 31.04,
        "downward_expansion": 18.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        179.403127,
        181.27562,
        180.175198,
        176.026827
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 183.93,
    "trend_reference": 171.212963,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074276,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 138.818871,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.324964,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.008219,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.129337,
    "excess_performance": -0.058117,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074276,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04614,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324964,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012911,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030082,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040702,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129337,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.039448,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 75489,
      "relative_activity": 0.911103,
      "balance": 1.039448,
      "dry_up": 0.988561,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049407,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184286,
      "from_high_reference": -0.052579,
      "from_low_reference": 0.243274
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 171.212963,
      "fair_value_reference": 138.818871,
      "structural_low": 147.94,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.038468,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012317,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.093018,
        "worst_return": -0.028636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.018149,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031386,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.051723,
        "worst_return": -0.085653,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.111078,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013018,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.210959,
        "worst_return": -0.058694,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.192898,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04225,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.285457,
        "worst_return": -0.209778,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.057369,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.021841,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.050462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.060129,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.007661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012531,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044888,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048792,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 162.967757,
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 134.033321,
        "relative_strength": -4.069318,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 96280.65,
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        "fair_value": 134.591752,
        "relative_strength": -2.831537,
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        "energy": 70.636938,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 135.758416,
        "relative_strength": -0.060473,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 63.914744,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 85992.7,
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        "relative_strength": -2.327442,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 87323.25,
        "trend": 169.117092,
        "fair_value": 136.834399,
        "relative_strength": -3.65279,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 50.53433,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 49773,
        "typical_volume": 81998.75,
        "trend": 169.615067,
        "fair_value": 137.31117,
        "relative_strength": -3.764503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.123968,
        "energy": 30.604158,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.36976,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 176.7504,
        "volume": 144571,
        "typical_volume": 84384.45,
        "trend": 170.077324,
        "fair_value": 137.789166,
        "relative_strength": -1.781312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.383176,
        "energy": 21.800046,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.73592,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 176.0842,
        "volume": 57794,
        "typical_volume": 83218.7,
        "trend": 170.550798,
        "fair_value": 138.2756,
        "relative_strength": -2.533428,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.778224,
        "energy": 21.762675,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.908593,
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          179.298353,
          175.163653
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 183.93,
        "volume": 75489,
        "typical_volume": 82854.5,
        "trend": 171.212963,
        "fair_value": 138.818871,
        "relative_strength": -3.008219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.662329,
        "energy": 23.165884,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}