{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "028e4843-1052-4282-b224-1030ffdbf678",
    "symbol": "INDT",
    "name": "Indutrade AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 80.616,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 47.516,
    "architecture_energy": 77.021,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.836,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.899,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.94,
        "rotation_up": 80.44,
        "upward_expansion": 69.94,
        "deceleration": 18.01,
        "rotation_down": 16.03,
        "downward_expansion": 25.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        240.613332,
        227.779999,
        216.101455,
        214.5463
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 244.0,
    "trend_reference": 214.893052,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.135449,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 248.858586,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.019523,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.96161,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.057624,
    "excess_performance": -0.00387,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135449,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023922,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019523,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195419,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029616,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210966,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057624,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.648732,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1657242,
      "relative_activity": 0.75152,
      "balance": 0.648732,
      "dry_up": 1.094463,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058354,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.479817,
      "from_high_reference": -0.071702,
      "from_low_reference": 0.314655
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 214.893052,
      "fair_value_reference": 248.858586,
      "structural_low": 185.600006,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.074037,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040425,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.124088,
        "worst_return": -0.257266,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.025138,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039853,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.200945,
        "worst_return": -0.144578,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.14736,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.10626,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.172708,
        "worst_return": -0.215369,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.059083,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04373,
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        "best_return": 0.207403,
        "worst_return": -0.220698,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.049305,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -14.188829,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2169866.25,
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        "fair_value": 248.270032,
        "relative_strength": 2.644475,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.51046,
        "energy": 39.691315,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 242.399994,
        "volume": 2112373,
        "typical_volume": 2175369.15,
        "trend": 214.443013,
        "fair_value": 248.450688,
        "relative_strength": -1.00418,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.159907,
        "energy": 65.928138,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 238.800003,
        "volume": 1892272,
        "typical_volume": 2194300.45,
        "trend": 214.686531,
        "fair_value": 248.640446,
        "relative_strength": -3.496868,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.181139,
        "energy": 73.457668,
        "activity_lines": [
          236.186665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 244.0,
        "volume": 1657242,
        "typical_volume": 2205185.95,
        "trend": 214.893052,
        "fair_value": 248.858586,
        "relative_strength": -2.96161,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.515544,
        "energy": 77.021099,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}