{ "ticker": { "uuid": "028fd9ee-2c32-4417-bd76-12cd4aeab0b9", "symbol": "ACNB", "name": "ACNB Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.476, "architecture_energy": 80.481, "architecture_maturity": 43.115, "architecture_confidence": 86.528, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 74.95, "upward_expansion": 93.09, "deceleration": 45.99, "rotation_down": 14.99, "downward_expansion": 17.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.089333, 61.535636, 58.225574, 55.744369 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 64.38, "trend_reference": 53.033784, "distance_from_trend": 0.213943, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.005031, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.570051, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.905452, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.250698, "excess_performance": 0.063244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.213943, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085808, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.570051, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.20665, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.139055, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171164, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.250698, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.67274, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 283705, "relative_activity": 0.864716, "balance": 1.67274, "dry_up": 1.134381, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046904, "annualized_volatility": 0.229204, "from_high_reference": -0.023658, "from_low_reference": 0.591815 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.033784, "fair_value_reference": 41.005031, "structural_low": 43.857548, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.014775, "positive_rate": 0.516129, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": 0.004169, "regime_survival": 0.645161, "best_return": 0.141905, "worst_return": -0.191756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.040651, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.038943, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.171136, "worst_return": -0.175145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.075277, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.012144, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.258148, "worst_return": -0.085931, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.329555, "energy": 77.889468, "activity_lines": [ 59.889333, 58.398673, 55.302766, 53.468819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.1, "volume": 447187, "typical_volume": 323495.85, "trend": 51.846575, "fair_value": 40.572565, "relative_strength": 17.244342, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.780138, "energy": 71.384987, "activity_lines": [ 60.745333, 59.361167, 56.207857, 54.160238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.48, "volume": 434263, "typical_volume": 332603.8, "trend": 52.459406, "fair_value": 40.789119, "relative_strength": 20.421071, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.047655, "energy": 79.482079, "activity_lines": [ 62.069333, 60.557133, 57.266226, 54.975298 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.38, "volume": 283705, "typical_volume": 328090.5, "trend": 53.033784, "fair_value": 41.005031, "relative_strength": 13.905452, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.47628, "energy": 80.480762, "activity_lines": [ 63.089333, 61.535636, 58.225574, 55.744369 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }